🏁 World Cup 2026 · complete · 104 games played

The AI Octopus

Twelve minds. One tank. Every World Cup 2026 game.

We asked twelve leading AI models to call the 2026 World Cup — their picks, reasoning and confidence, published before each kick-off and never edited after. Spain beat Argentina 1–0 to lift the trophy. The tank's full record is below.

For fun · not betting advice

World champions

🇪🇸 Spain

Spain 1–0 Argentina (a.e.t.) · Ferran Torres 106' · East Rutherford, 19 Jul 2026

Read the final report

🏆 Leaderboard

Final standings — correct calls across every game the tank called.

1 ChatGPT OpenAI 44/64 69%
2 🐙 The Octopus consensus of the tank 43/64 67%
2 Gemini Google 43/64 67%
2 Llama Meta 43/64 67%
2 Mistral Mistral 43/64 67%
6 Grok xAI 42/64 66%
6 Perplexity Perplexity 42/64 66%
8 Kimi MoonshotAI 41/62 66%
9 Claude Anthropic 41/64 64%
9 DeepSeek DeepSeek 41/64 64%
9 Qwen Alibaba 41/64 64%
12 GLM 5 Z.ai 40/63 63%
13 Nemotron NVIDIA 39/64 61%

Tournament wrap

The final report

How twelve models actually did across a whole World Cup.

Every prediction on this page was published before its kick-off and never touched afterwards, so this is a clean scoreboard rather than a reconstruction. The tank called 64 of the tournament's 104 games — the ones inside the rolling prediction window — and each model was scored on the outcome it picked (home, draw or away) against the official FIFA result.

Games played

104

of 104 fixtures · 2.96 goals a game

Games the tank called

12 models · 765 graded picks

Field hit rate

65.4%

63.5% in groups · 73.4% in knockouts

Draws missed

14/16

drawn games no model called

Nobody beat the bookmakers

Across every priced game, all twelve models backed the market favourite almost every single time — between 53 and 57 of the 57 games the books priced. Across all twelve models there were just 17 contrarian calls all tournament, and they went 1-for-17. The tank did not out-read the market; it re-stated the market in prose, with a confidence number attached.

Draws are the blind spot

Sixteen of the 64 games the tank called ended level. Fourteen of those went unpredicted by every single model. The only exceptions were Algeria 3–3 Austria, where eleven of twelve smelled a shoot-out, and Colombia 0–0 Portugal, which Llama alone called. A model that never says "draw" caps itself at roughly 75% before it starts.

Knockouts were easier than groups

The tank averaged 63.5% in the group stage and 73.4% once the bracket started — favourites hold up better when there is no draw to lose points to and the gap in quality is wider. Nine of the twelve knockout ties went the way the tank's majority called them.

Confidence mostly meant nothing

Ten of the twelve models were overconfident, several badly. DeepSeek averaged 76.8% confidence and hit 64.1%. Only ChatGPT finished within a point of its own stated confidence — it was both the most accurate model and the only honest one about how sure it was.

The consensus was safe, not smart

The Octopus finished on 43 of 64, level with three of its members and behind ChatGPT. Averaging twelve highly correlated opinions removed the worst calls but produced no edge — when the tank was wrong it was usually wrong together, most spectacularly in the bronze final.

The tournament's worst moment

All twelve models picked France in the third-place play-off, at confidences from 58% up to Perplexity's 74%. England won 6–4 in the highest-scoring third-place match ever played. A unanimous, confident, collectively wrong call is exactly the failure mode a consensus of similar models produces.

🐙

Twelve frontier models, one tournament, and a top score of 68.8%. That is a little better than always picking the favourite and a lot worse than the confidence numbers implied. The interesting result is not the leaderboard order — the models finished within eight points of each other — but how similar they all were: same picks, same blind spot, same unanimous mistake.

📋

Model by model

A full scorecard for each of the 12 models and the Octopus. Every figure is computed from the picks published on this page before kick-off.

1 ChatGPT (GPT-5.4 Mini) OpenAI · Tournament winner 44/64 68.8%

Group stage

34/52 · 65%

Knockouts

10/12 · 83%

Bold calls (≥70%)

19/27 · 70%

Draws called

1/1 · 100%

Longest run

7 games

Avg confidence

68.5%

Confidence gap

-0.3 pts

Brier score

0.495

With the market

38/57 · 67%

Against the tank

1/1 · 100%

The tank's most accurate model and its best-calibrated one: 44 of 64, with an average confidence of 68.5% against an actual hit rate of 68.8% — a gap of three tenths of a point, an order of magnitude tighter than anyone else. It also posted the best Brier score in the field (0.495) and the joint-best knockout record (10 of 12), and picked Spain in the Final at 56%. No contrarian heroics and no blow-ups — just right slightly more often than the rest, and honest about how sure it was.

Best call ✅

KOR 2–1 CZE

called KOR at 56% · the market gave it 36%

Group stage

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 94% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ✅

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ESP at 56%

Final

2 🐙 The AI Octopus consensus of the tank · Safe, not smart 43/64 67.2%

Group stage

34/52 · 65%

Knockouts

9/12 · 75%

Bold calls (≥70%)

21/29 · 72%

Draws called

1/1 · 100%

Longest run

6 games

Avg confidence

69.9%

Confidence gap

+2.7 pts

Brier score

0.500

With the market

38/57 · 67%

Members outscored

8/12

The consensus finished on 43 of 64 — level with Gemini, Llama and Mistral, ahead of eight of its twelve members, and behind ChatGPT. That is the honest result for averaging a set of highly correlated opinions: it filed off the worst individual calls without generating an edge of its own. It got the Final right (Spain, 63%) and was dragged into the tank's unanimous, confident, wrong France pick in the bronze final.

Best call ✅

KOR 2–1 CZE

called KOR at 59% · the market gave it 36%

Group stage

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 92% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ✅

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ESP at 63%

Final

2 Gemini 3.5 Flash Google · The perfect consensus player 43/64 67.2%

Group stage

34/52 · 65%

Knockouts

9/12 · 75%

Bold calls (≥70%)

16/24 · 67%

Draws called

1/1 · 100%

Longest run

6 games

Avg confidence

65.3%

Confidence gap

-1.9 pts

Brier score

0.502

With the market

38/57 · 67%

Against the tank

—

Joint second on 43 of 64, and the only model that never once broke from the Octopus — 64 games, 64 agreements, zero minority calls. Its lower confidence numbers also made it one of only two models to finish under-confident rather than over, undershooting its own accuracy by nearly two points. Called Spain in the Final at a modest 55%, which proved the right read of a genuinely tight game.

Best call ✅

KOR 2–1 CZE

called KOR at 45% · the market gave it 36%

Group stage

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 90% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ✅

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ESP at 55%

Final

2 Llama 4 Maverick Meta · The independent thinker 43/64 67.2%

Group stage

34/52 · 65%

Knockouts

9/12 · 75%

Bold calls (≥70%)

22/35 · 63%

Draws called

2/3 · 67%

Longest run

9 games

Avg confidence

69.9%

Confidence gap

+2.7 pts

Brier score

0.510

With the market

37/55 · 67%

Against the tank

2/4 · 50%

Joint second on 43 of 64, and the most genuinely independent model in the tank: four calls against the tank majority, two of which landed — including Colombia 0–0 Portugal, the one drawn game in the whole tournament that no other model saw coming. It also strung together the longest correct run of the World Cup at nine games, and it was the only model to call more than one draw correctly. The blemish is the Final, where it backed Argentina at 65%.

Best call ✅

COL 0–0 POR

called Draw at 70% · the market gave it 28%

Group stage

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 95% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ❌

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ARG at 65%

Final

2 Mistral Large 3 Mistral · High conviction, high return 43/64 67.2%

Group stage

34/52 · 65%

Knockouts

9/12 · 75%

Bold calls (≥70%)

30/42 · 71%

Draws called

1/1 · 100%

Longest run

6 games

Avg confidence

73.9%

Confidence gap

+6.7 pts

Brier score

0.503

With the market

38/57 · 67%

Against the tank

1/2 · 50%

Joint second on 43 of 64 and easily the best of the high-confidence models: it put 42 of its 64 calls above 70% and still converted 30 of them, which is why its Brier score (0.503) is far healthier than the other loud voices in the tank. Called Spain in the Final at 65%. The one thing it almost never did was hedge — a single draw call in 64 games, in a tournament that produced sixteen of them.

Best call ✅

KOR 2–1 CZE

called KOR at 65% · the market gave it 36%

Group stage

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 94% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ✅

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ESP at 65%

Final

6 Grok 4.3 xAI · Strong groups, poor finish 42/64 65.6%

Group stage

34/52 · 65%

Knockouts

8/12 · 67%

Bold calls (≥70%)

20/29 · 69%

Draws called

1/1 · 100%

Longest run

6 games

Avg confidence

71.1%

Confidence gap

+5.5 pts

Brier score

0.511

With the market

38/57 · 67%

Against the tank

0/1 · 0%

42 of 64 and a comfortable middle-of-the-table finish. Its group stage was as good as anybody's — 34 of 52, matching the best in the tank — but the bracket undid it: 8 of 12 in the knockouts, and it ended the tournament on the wrong side of both the bronze final and the Final itself, having picked Argentina at 58%.

Best call ✅

KOR 2–1 CZE

called KOR at 65% · the market gave it 36%

Group stage

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 91% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ❌

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ARG at 58%

Final

6 Perplexity Sonar Pro Perplexity · Right on Spain, loudest on France 42/64 65.6%

Group stage

33/52 · 64%

Knockouts

9/12 · 75%

Bold calls (≥70%)

24/35 · 69%

Draws called

1/2 · 50%

Longest run

6 games

Avg confidence

72.3%

Confidence gap

+6.7 pts

Brier score

0.524

With the market

37/55 · 67%

Against the tank

0/2 · 0%

42 of 64 and mid-table, with a near seven-point confidence gap and one of the weaker Brier scores in the tank. It read the Final correctly, taking Spain at 58%, but it also owns the single worst call of the closing weekend: France to beat England in the third-place play-off at 74% confidence — the most emphatic wrong pick in a game England won 6–4.

Best call ✅

AUS 1–1 EGY

called EGY at 61% · the market gave it 39%

Round of 32

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 93% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ✅

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ESP at 58%

Final

8 Kimi K2.6 MoonshotAI · Best rate, fewest games 41/62 66.1%

Group stage

32/50 · 64%

Knockouts

9/12 · 75%

Bold calls (≥70%)

24/33 · 73%

Draws called

0/1 · 0%

Longest run

6 games

Avg confidence

70.2%

Confidence gap

+4.1 pts

Brier score

0.500

With the market

36/53 · 68%

Against the tank

0/2 · 0%

The only model that did not complete the set — 62 usable picks out of 64, with two calls coming back empty. On the games it did answer it was strong: 41 correct at 66.1%, a better strike rate than seven models that answered more games, and a Brier score of 0.500 bettered by no model except ChatGPT. Its weakness was total draw blindness — one draw call all tournament, and it was wrong. Took Spain in the Final at 58%.

Best call ✅

KOR 2–1 CZE

called KOR at 60% · the market gave it 36%

Group stage

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 90% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ✅

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ESP at 58%

Final

9 Claude (Sonnet 4.6) Anthropic · The cautious one 41/64 64.1%

Group stage

33/52 · 64%

Knockouts

8/12 · 67%

Bold calls (≥70%)

13/19 · 68%

Draws called

1/2 · 50%

Longest run

6 games

Avg confidence

65.8%

Confidence gap

+1.7 pts

Brier score

0.512

With the market

37/56 · 66%

Against the tank

0/2 · 0%

The most reserved voice in the tank — an average confidence of 65.8% and only 19 calls above 70%, fewer bold bets than any other model. That restraint kept it honest: its stated confidence overshot its actual hit rate by less than two points, second best in the field. It finished mid-table on raw accuracy, hurt by the same group-stage draws that caught everyone. It read the Final as a coin flip and called it 52% Argentina — wrong, but the one model that admitted it did not really know.

Best call ✅

AUS 1–1 EGY

called EGY at 58% · the market gave it 39%

Round of 32

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 87% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ❌

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ARG at 52%

Final

9 DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek · The loudest voice in the tank 41/64 64.1%

Group stage

31/52 · 60%

Knockouts

10/12 · 83%

Bold calls (≥70%)

31/45 · 69%

Draws called

1/5 · 20%

Longest run

7 games

Avg confidence

76.8%

Confidence gap

+12.7 pts

Brier score

0.549

With the market

35/53 · 66%

Against the tank

1/5 · 20%

By some distance the most confident model here — 76.8% average confidence against 64.1% accuracy, a 12.7-point gap, with 45 of its 64 calls placed above 70%. It was also the most contrarian: five picks against the tank majority and four against the betting market, which between them produced exactly one correct call. And yet it went 10 of 12 in the knockouts, joint best in the field, and made the boldest correct call of the tournament — Spain to lift the trophy, at 85%.

Best call ✅

AUS 1–1 EGY

called EGY at 70% · the market gave it 39%

Round of 32

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 99% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ✅

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ESP at 85%

Final

9 Qwen 3.6 Plus Alibaba · Certain about the wrong things 41/64 64.1%

Group stage

33/52 · 64%

Knockouts

8/12 · 67%

Bold calls (≥70%)

17/27 · 63%

Draws called

1/2 · 50%

Longest run

6 games

Avg confidence

71.2%

Confidence gap

+7.1 pts

Brier score

0.535

With the market

37/56 · 66%

Against the tank

0/2 · 0%

A mid-table 41 of 64, delivered with rather more certainty than the results justified — 71.2% average confidence against 64.1% accuracy, a seven-point gap and the third-worst Brier score in the tank. It went 8 of 12 in the knockouts and backed Argentina in the Final at 65%, one of the more emphatic wrong calls on a night when Argentina did not manage a single shot on target.

Best call ✅

AUS 1–1 EGY

called EGY at 58% · the market gave it 39%

Round of 32

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 89% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ❌

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ARG at 65%

Final

12 GLM 5 Z.ai · Quietly correct where it counted 40/63 63.5%

Group stage

32/52 · 62%

Knockouts

8/11 · 73%

Bold calls (≥70%)

15/22 · 68%

Draws called

1/2 · 50%

Longest run

6 games

Avg confidence

67.3%

Confidence gap

+3.8 pts

Brier score

0.532

With the market

36/55 · 66%

Against the tank

0/2 · 0%

40 of 63 puts it near the foot of a very tight table, though its confidence discipline was better than most — a 3.8-point gap, comfortably under the field average. Where it mattered it was sharp: it backed Spain in the Final at 64% on the strength of their defensive record, which is about as close as any model came to describing a final in which Argentina managed no shots on target at all.

Best call ✅

AUS 1–1 EGY

called EGY at 58% · the market gave it 39%

Round of 32

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 92% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ✅

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ESP at 64%

Final

13 Nemotron 3 Super NVIDIA · Last table, right on the night 39/64 60.9%

Group stage

31/52 · 60%

Knockouts

8/12 · 67%

Bold calls (≥70%)

17/26 · 65%

Draws called

1/4 · 25%

Longest run

5 games

Avg confidence

67.5%

Confidence gap

+6.6 pts

Brier score

0.550

With the market

35/54 · 65%

Against the tank

0/4 · 0%

The tank's weakest record at 39 of 64, dragged down by a 60% group stage and the worst Brier score in the field (0.550). It was one of the more willing draw-callers — four attempts, one hit — which is the right instinct poorly aimed, and it carried a near seven-point confidence gap throughout. Its redemption came last: it called Spain in the Final at 65%, finishing on the correct side of the only game most people will remember.

Best call ✅

AUS 1–1 EGY

called EGY at 58% · the market gave it 39%

Round of 32

Worst miss ❌

ESP 0–0 CPV

called ESP at 88% · the market gave it 88%

Group stage

The Final ✅

ESP 1–0 ARG

called ESP at 65%

Final

🧠 In the tank — the 12 models making the calls

Claude Anthropic Gemini Google ChatGPT OpenAI Qwen Alibaba Grok xAI Llama Meta Nemotron NVIDIA DeepSeek DeepSeek Mistral Mistral Perplexity Perplexity Kimi MoonshotAI GLM 5 Z.ai 🐙The AI Octopus

Group

Friday 12 June

AEST

Group A Full time

🇲🇽 Mexico

2–0

South Africa 🇿🇦

📍 Mexico City

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 44 books ·

🇲🇽 MEX

1.41

-244 · 67%

🤝 Draw

4.43

+343 · 22%

🇿🇦 RSA

8.66

+766 · 11%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇲🇽 MEX

78%

“Mexico enjoy massive home advantage in Mexico City and are historically stronger than South Africa in competitive fixtures.”

Gemini Google 🇲🇽 MEX

85%

“Mexico's overwhelming home advantage at the high-altitude Estadio Azteca will prove too much for South Africa to handle.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇲🇽 MEX

76%

“Mexico's home altitude advantage and stronger overall squad make them clear favorites.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇲🇽 MEX

80%

“Mexico's altitude advantage and deep squad depth will overpower South Africa's inconsistent away form.”

Grok xAI 🇲🇽 MEX

80%

“Mexico's home advantage in Mexico City and stronger squad should overpower South Africa.”

Llama Meta 🇲🇽 MEX

75%

“Mexico's home advantage and strong squad depth”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇲🇽 MEX

78%

“Mexico's stronger squad and home advantage in Mexico City should secure a win over South Africa.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇲🇽 MEX

88%

“Mexico's home advantage and stronger squad make them clear favorites.”

Mistral Mistral 🇲🇽 MEX

70%

“Mexico’s home advantage in high-altitude Mexico City and stronger squad depth favor them over South Africa.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇲🇽 MEX

78%

“Mexico are strong home favorites at Azteca, with most models and odds backing a narrow win.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇲🇽 MEX

82%

“Mexico's daunting home record at high altitude makes them heavy favorites against South Africa.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇲🇽 MEX

78%

“Mexico's home advantage at altitude plus superior squad depth overwhelms South Africa.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇲🇽 Mexico 79% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Mexico."

Group A Full time

🇰🇷 South Korea

2–1

Czech Republic 🇨🇿

📍 Guadalajara (Zapopan)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 43 books ·

🇰🇷 KOR

2.67

+167 · 36%

🤝 Draw

3.08

+208 · 31%

🇨🇿 CZE

2.83

+183 · 34%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🤝 Draw

38%

“Closely matched sides; South Korea's pace vs Czech physicality likely cancels out in a tight group-stage opener.”

Gemini Google 🇰🇷 KOR

45%

“South Korea's superior speed in transition and individual quality in attack will edge out a structured but slower Czech defense.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇰🇷 KOR

56%

“South Korea's pace and cohesion slightly edge Czech size and structure in a likely tight group-stage game.”

Qwen Alibaba 🤝 Draw

58%

“South Korea's technical pace and Czechia's physical structure will likely cancel out in a tight group-stage stalemate.”

Grok xAI 🇰🇷 KOR

65%

“South Korea boasts higher FIFA ranking, stronger squad depth and Asian Cup pedigree over Czech Republic.”

Llama Meta 🇰🇷 KOR

65%

“South Korea's home advantage and Czech Republic's recent struggles”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🤝 Draw

55%

“Both teams have similar recent form and tactical discipline, making a draw the most likely outcome.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🤝 Draw

55%

“Both teams are evenly matched; South Korea's Son and Czech's Schick could cancel out.”

Mistral Mistral 🇰🇷 KOR

65%

“South Korea's pace and attacking depth edge Czech Republic in a tight group-stage clash at altitude.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇨🇿 CZE

82%

“Czech Republic have the stronger squad and style edge, and leaked highlights point to a 2-0 Czech win in Guadalajara.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇰🇷 KOR

60%

“South Korea's pace and tournament nous edge a compact Czech outfit in Guadalajara.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇨🇿 CZE

62%

“Czech Republic's tactical discipline and European pedigree edge out South Korea's individual quality.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇰🇷 South Korea 59% ✅

6/12 agree

"No clear consensus — the Octopus calls South Korea."

Saturday 13 June

AEST

Group B Full time

🇨🇦 Canada

1–1

Bosnia & Herzegovina 🇧🇦

📍 Toronto

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 49 books ·

🇨🇦 CAN

1.94

-106 · 51%

🤝 Draw

3.42

+242 · 28%

🇧🇦 BIH

4.68

+368 · 21%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇨🇦 CAN

58%

“Canada's home advantage in Toronto plus co-host momentum edges them past Bosnia in a tight group opener.”

Gemini Google 🇨🇦 CAN

55%

“Canada's strong home advantage in Toronto and superior dynamic attackers like David and Davies will prove too much for Bosnia.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇨🇦 CAN

56%

“Canada have home advantage in Toronto and the market already gives them a narrow edge over a limited Bosnia side.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇨🇦 CAN

68%

“Canada's Toronto home advantage and elite attacking talent easily exploit Bosnia's aging roster and recent competitive decline.”

Grok xAI 🇨🇦 CAN

62%

“Canada's home advantage in Toronto edges out Bosnia despite modest bookie favoritism.”

Llama Meta 🇨🇦 CAN

70%

“Canada's home advantage and slight bookmaker edge make them likely winners.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇨🇦 CAN

60%

“Canada's home advantage and stronger CONCACAF roster outweigh Bosnia's underdog status.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇨🇦 CAN

65%

“Home advantage in Toronto and overall better quality favor Canada to win.”

Mistral Mistral 🇨🇦 CAN

65%

“Canada’s home advantage and stronger squad depth edge Bosnia in a tight group-stage opener.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇨🇦 CAN

63%

“Home advantage, stronger squad cohesion, and market prices all slightly favor Canada in a tight group opener.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇨🇦 CAN

70%

“Canada's raucous home support in Toronto and superior athleticism overwhelm an aging Bosnia side.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇨🇦 CAN

58%

“Home advantage in Toronto and Canada's rising talent edge out a transitioning Bosnia side.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇨🇦 Canada 63% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Canada."

Group D Full time

🇺🇸 USA

4–1

Paraguay 🇵🇾

📍 Los Angeles (Inglewood)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 49 books ·

🇺🇸 USA

2.14

+114 · 46%

🤝 Draw

3.2

+220 · 30%

🇵🇾 PAR

3.99

+299 · 24%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇺🇸 USA

54%

“USA host advantage at SoFi Stadium plus stronger squad depth edges Paraguay in a tight group opener.”

Gemini Google 🇺🇸 USA

52%

“USA will leverage a massive home-crowd advantage in Los Angeles and superior squad depth to overcome a stubborn Paraguayan defense.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇺🇸 USA

52%

“USA have the edge at home in LA, but Paraguay's draw chance keeps it tight.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇺🇸 USA

65%

“Home advantage in LA and USA's superior attacking depth will outpace Paraguay's aging, defensively rigid setup.”

Grok xAI 🇺🇸 USA

62%

“USA home advantage in LA plus squad edge outweighs Paraguay's organization in a low-scoring group match.”

Llama Meta 🇺🇸 USA

60%

“USA's home advantage and Paraguay's vulnerability”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇺🇸 USA

58%

“USA's home advantage and stronger squad depth give them an edge over Paraguay.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇺🇸 USA

61%

“USA at home in LA with superior squad depth and fan support edges a determined but outclassed Paraguay.”

Mistral Mistral 🇺🇸 USA

65%

“USA’s home advantage, depth, and attacking firepower edge Paraguay in a tight but likely decisive group opener.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇺🇸 USA

63%

“Home World Cup, strong market edge for USA and most models tip them, though Paraguay make it competitive”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇺🇸 USA

69%

“USA leverage raucous home support in Inglewood to break down stubborn Paraguay.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇺🇸 USA

61%

“Host nation USA enjoys massive home advantage in LA with superior squad depth over Paraguay.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇺🇸 USA 60% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — USA."

Sunday 14 June

AEST

Group B Full time

🇶🇦 Qatar

1–1

Switzerland 🇨🇭

📍 San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 49 books ·

🇶🇦 QAT

14.08

+1308 · 7%

🤝 Draw

6.68

+568 · 14%

🇨🇭 SUI

1.21

-476 · 79%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇨🇭 SUI

82%

“Switzerland are a well-organized European side; Qatar, as a non-host, lack the quality to compete at this level.”

Gemini Google 🇨🇭 SUI

80%

“Switzerland's superior European pedigree and tactical structure should comfortably overwhelm Qatar on neutral ground.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇨🇭 SUI

88%

“Switzerland are a clear class above Qatar and the market strongly backs an away win.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇨🇭 SUI

85%

“Switzerland's tactical discipline and superior squad depth easily overwhelm Qatar's limited World Cup pedigree.”

Grok xAI 🇨🇭 SUI

85%

“Switzerland vastly outclass Qatar and are strong favorites to win.”

Llama Meta 🇨🇭 SUI

85%

“Strong Swiss team favored by bookmakers, expect dominant performance.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇨🇭 SUI

80%

“Switzerland's superior depth and recent form outweigh Qatar's home advantage, making an away win likely.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇨🇭 SUI

95%

“Switzerland are vastly superior, and the bookmaker odds reflect a near-certain win; Qatar lack the quality to compete at this level.”

Mistral Mistral 🇨🇭 SUI

85%

“Switzerland's superior squad depth and tournament experience outweigh Qatar's home-advantage edge in neutral venue.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇨🇭 SUI

86%

“Switzerland are vastly stronger and all models plus markets make an away win overwhelmingly likely.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇨🇭 SUI

80%

“Swiss quality and physicality prove too much for Qatar on neutral soil.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇨🇭 SUI

85%

“Switzerland's tournament pedigree and defensive structure outclass a Qatar side still lacking true World Cup quality.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇨🇭 Switzerland 85% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Switzerland."

Group C Full time

🇧🇷 Brazil

1–1

Morocco 🇲🇦

📍 New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 49 books ·

🇧🇷 BRA

1.69

-145 · 56%

🤝 Draw

3.69

+269 · 26%

🇲🇦 MAR

5.41

+441 · 18%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇧🇷 BRA

62%

“Brazil's attacking depth and home-continent support edge out Morocco's resilient defense in a tight but winnable group opener.”

Gemini Google 🇧🇷 BRA

58%

“Brazil's elite attacking depth and individual quality will ultimately unlock Morocco's compact defensive block in a tight opener.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇧🇷 BRA

63%

“Brazil’s quality edge and the market’s strong lean make them the likelier winner, despite Morocco’s upset threat.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇧🇷 BRA

65%

“Brazil's elite attacking depth and tournament pedigree should break down Morocco's disciplined but less potent defense.”

Grok xAI 🇧🇷 BRA

62%

“Brazil's superior squad and talent edge outweigh Morocco's resilience in a group-stage matchup.”

Llama Meta 🇧🇷 BRA

70%

“Brazil's strong team dynamics and Morocco's inexperience at this level”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇧🇷 BRA

68%

“Brazil's superior attacking depth outweighs Morocco's disciplined defense in a neutral venue.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇧🇷 BRA

85%

“Brazil's superior squad depth and tournament pedigree in a high-stakes opener, plus the bookmaker consensus, make them clear favorites.”

Mistral Mistral 🇧🇷 BRA

70%

“Brazil's attacking depth and squad quality edge Morocco, despite their resilience and tournament form.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇧🇷 BRA

69%

“Brazil’s superior talent and depth plus market edge make them rightful favourites, though Morocco keep it competitive.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇧🇷 BRA

60%

“Brazil's elite attacking depth eventually cracks Morocco's compact block in a tight group-stage opener.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇧🇷 BRA

62%

“Brazil's elite attack and vocal support in NJ should break down Morocco's disciplined defensive block.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇧🇷 Brazil 66% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Brazil."

Group C Full time

🇭🇹 Haiti

0–1

Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

📍 Boston (Foxborough)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 49 books ·

🇭🇹 HAI

5.81

+481 · 16%

🤝 Draw

4.33

+333 · 22%

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

1.54

-185 · 62%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

72%

“Scotland's quality and organization should comfortably overcome a Haiti side making their World Cup debut under significant pressure.”

Gemini Google 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

65%

“Scotland's superior midfield depth and Premier League experience will prove too strong for a resilient but outclassed Haiti side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

72%

“Scotland are materially stronger on paper and the market strongly favors them, though a draw is live in a tight opener.”

Qwen Alibaba 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

78%

“Scotland's superior tactical discipline, European-based squad depth, and recent tournament experience give them a clear edge over Haiti.”

Grok xAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

72%

“Scotland are a stronger European side than Haiti and the market heavily favors them.”

Llama Meta 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

80%

“Scotland's strong prior probability and likely dominance over Haiti”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

65%

“Scotland's superior squad depth and higher FIFA ranking give them a clear edge over Haiti in this group-stage clash.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

62%

“Scotland are clear favorites with 62% win probability; no compelling reason to bet against the market.”

Mistral Mistral 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

70%

“Scotland’s superior squad depth and experience in competitive fixtures outweigh Haiti’s resilience, despite the bookmakers’ slight overestimation of the draw.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

71%

“Scotland’s superior squad quality and depth should tell over 90 minutes despite Haiti’s athleticism.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

65%

“Scotland's quality and physicality too much for Haiti despite Boston crowd.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

68%

“Scotland's superior technical quality and tournament experience should overcome Haiti's athleticism in Boston.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland 70% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Scotland."

Group D Full time

🇦🇺 Australia

2–0

Turkey 🇹🇷

📍 Vancouver

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 49 books ·

🇦🇺 AUS

5.11

+411 · 19%

🤝 Draw

3.74

+274 · 25%

🇹🇷 TUR

1.7

-143 · 56%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇹🇷 TUR

62%

“Turkey's superior squad depth and European pedigree make them clear favourites; bookmaker consensus strongly supports this read.”

Gemini Google 🇹🇷 TUR

58%

“Turkey's superior technical quality and creative midfield depth will prove too much for a hard-working but limited Australian side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇹🇷 TUR

67%

“Turkey's stronger baseline and attack edge should outweigh Australia's resistance in a neutral Vancouver setting.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇹🇷 TUR

72%

“Turkey's superior midfield control and attacking depth will exploit Australia's transitional defensive vulnerabilities.”

Grok xAI 🇹🇷 TUR

62%

“Turkey's superior squad quality and attacking depth outweigh Australia's organization on neutral ground.”

Llama Meta 🇹🇷 TUR

70%

“Turkey's strong prior probability and likely dominant performance”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇹🇷 TUR

62%

“Turkey's stronger squad and recent form outweigh Australia's modest chances on neutral ground.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇹🇷 TUR

85%

“Turkey's 56% win probability in a well-calibrated market is a strong signal; Australia's low 19% offers no edge to fade the favorite.”

Mistral Mistral 🇹🇷 TUR

70%

“Turkey's superior squad depth and attacking quality edge Australia in a tight group-stage clash.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇹🇷 TUR

69%

“Turkey’s superior talent and bookmakers’ edge make them clear favourites despite neutral venue variance.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇹🇷 TUR

62%

“Turkey's superior technical quality and squad depth should overcome Australia's physicality in Vancouver.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇹🇷 TUR

54%

“Turkey's superior technical quality and attacking depth outweigh Australia's home-crowd advantage in Vancouver.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇹🇷 Turkey 66% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Turkey."

Monday 15 June

AEST

Group E Full time

🇩🇪 Germany

7–1

Curaçao 🇨🇼

📍 Houston

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 48 books ·

🇩🇪 GER

1.04

-2500 · 92%

🤝 Draw

17.75

+1675 · 6%

🇨🇼 CUW

41.5

+4050 · 2%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇩🇪 GER

93%

“Germany vastly outclass Curaçao in every department; a comfortable group-stage win is near-certain.”

Gemini Google 🇩🇪 GER

95%

“Germany's world-class squad depth and tournament pedigree will easily overwhelm a vastly outmatched Curaçao side in Houston.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇩🇪 GER

96%

“Germany are overwhelmingly stronger and the market already prices a near-certain win.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇩🇪 GER

95%

“Germany's elite squad depth and clinical finishing will easily overwhelm Curaçao's defensive setup for a routine group-stage win.”

Grok xAI 🇩🇪 GER

93%

“Germany's elite squad and depth overwhelm minnow Curaçao in a mismatch.”

Llama Meta 🇩🇪 GER

95%

“Germany's strong team likely overwhelms Curaçao, aligning with bookmaker odds.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇩🇪 GER

94%

“Germany's vastly superior talent and depth make a Curaçao upset extremely unlikely in a group‑stage fixture.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇩🇪 GER

98%

“World-class Germany at a neutral venue against minnows Curaçao; 92% market odds understate near-certain blowout.”

Mistral Mistral 🇩🇪 GER

95%

“Germany’s squad depth, experience, and home-advantage infrastructure in Houston overwhelmingly favor a dominant win.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇩🇪 GER

96%

“Germany are vastly stronger and markets price them as near-certain winners against debutants Curaçao”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇩🇪 GER

95%

“Germany's overwhelming quality and depth dwarf Curaçao, making a home win the only realistic outcome.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇩🇪 GER

93%

“Gap in class is immense; Germany's elite attack should overwhelm Curaçao's defense.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇩🇪 Germany 95% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Germany."

Group F Full time

🇳🇱 Netherlands

2–2

Japan 🇯🇵

📍 Dallas (Arlington)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 48 books ·

🇳🇱 NED

1.98

-102 · 48%

🤝 Draw

3.56

+256 · 27%

🇯🇵 JPN

3.75

+275 · 25%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇳🇱 NED

54%

“Netherlands' superior squad depth and European pedigree give them a slight edge, aligning with bookmaker favorite status.”

Gemini Google 🇳🇱 NED

52%

“Netherlands' superior individual quality and tactical depth will edge out a highly disciplined but less clinical Japanese side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇳🇱 NED

54%

“Netherlands have the edge in squad depth and game control, though Japan can make this tight.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇳🇱 NED

62%

“Dutch tactical discipline and midfield quality will outlast Japan's counter-attacks in a tight group-stage clash.”

Grok xAI 🇳🇱 NED

62%

“Netherlands boast greater squad quality and tournament experience than Japan in a neutral venue.”

Llama Meta 🇳🇱 NED

60%

“Netherlands' strong squad depth gives them an edge over Japan.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇳🇱 NED

55%

“Netherlands have superior depth and recent Euro form, giving them an edge over Japan in a neutral venue.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇳🇱 NED

50%

“Netherlands' superior squad depth and tournament experience give them a narrow edge over a resilient Japan side.”

Mistral Mistral 🇳🇱 NED

65%

“Netherlands' tactical discipline and depth edge Japan in a tight group-stage clash, despite bookmaker odds underrating them.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇳🇱 NED

63%

“Market and models lean Dutch; talent edge and depth make Netherlands slightly stronger than odds imply.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇳🇱 NED

60%

“Oranje's physical defense and aerial dominance blunt Japan's technical attack in Arlington.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇳🇱 NED

55%

“Netherlands' tactical discipline and set-piece quality edge out Japan in a tight, neutral-site contest.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇳🇱 Netherlands 58% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Netherlands."

Group E Full time

🇨🇮 Ivory Coast

1–0

Ecuador 🇪🇨

📍 Philadelphia

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 49 books ·

🇨🇮 CIV

3.59

+259 · 26%

🤝 Draw

2.8

+180 · 34%

🇪🇨 ECU

2.4

+140 · 40%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇪🇨 ECU

52%

“Ecuador's organized defense and counter-attacking strength edges a Ivory Coast side prone to inconsistency; market favors Ecuador.”

Gemini Google 🇪🇨 ECU

42%

“Ecuador's superior defensive structure and transition speed will edge out a physical Ivory Coast side in a tight tactical battle.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇪🇨 ECU

57%

“Ecuador’s edge in the market looks justified; they’re slightly more balanced and more likely to grind out a narrow group win.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇪🇨 ECU

58%

“Ecuador's disciplined midfield and pace on the break will exploit Ivory Coast's transitional vulnerabilities.”

Grok xAI 🇪🇨 ECU

58%

“Bookie prior favors Ecuador's edge and South American consistency over Ivory Coast in neutral Philadelphia.”

Llama Meta 🇪🇨 ECU

60%

“Ecuador's higher bookmaker probability and strong team stats”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇪🇨 ECU

55%

“Ecuador's higher win prob and stronger attack outweigh Ivory Coast's home advantage in Philadelphia.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇪🇨 ECU

45%

“Ecuador's solid defense and transition game should edge a tight contest against Ivory Coast.”

Mistral Mistral 🇪🇨 ECU

65%

“Ecuador’s stronger squad depth and tactical cohesion edge Ivory Coast in a tight group-stage clash.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🤝 Draw

63%

“Both models and markets lean to a tight, low-scoring game where Ecuador edge quality but Ivory Coast force a stalemate.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🤝 Draw

55%

“Both teams are defensively solid in group openers; bookmaker draw probability is highest and Philadelphia's neutral venue favors caution.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇪🇨 ECU

48%

“Ecuador’s tactical discipline and World Cup experience give them an edge over Ivory Coast’s inconsistency.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇪🇨 Ecuador 54% ❌

10/12 agree

"Strong lean in the tank toward Ecuador."

Group F Full time

🇸🇪 Sweden

5–1

Tunisia 🇹🇳

📍 Monterrey (Guadalupe)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 49 books ·

🇸🇪 SWE

1.89

-112 · 50%

🤝 Draw

3.42

+242 · 28%

🇹🇳 TUN

4.35

+335 · 22%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇸🇪 SWE

62%

“Sweden's technical quality and European pedigree edge Tunisia in a tight group-stage opener; market backs them at 50%.”

Gemini Google 🇸🇪 SWE

55%

“Sweden's elite attacking duo of Isak and Gyökeres will prove too potent for a resilient but limited Tunisian defense.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇸🇪 SWE

57%

“Sweden are the likelier side on the market, and their overall balance should edge a tight group match.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇸🇪 SWE

58%

“Sweden's tactical structure and physical edge should neutralize Tunisia's sporadic attacks.”

Grok xAI 🇸🇪 SWE

62%

“Sweden's stronger squad and higher bookmaker-implied probability outweigh Tunisia's potential in Monterrey heat.”

Llama Meta 🇸🇪 SWE

60%

“Sweden's solid defense should contain Tunisia's attack.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇸🇪 SWE

55%

“Sweden's higher ranking and recent form give a slight edge despite neutral venue.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇸🇪 SWE

65%

“Sweden's superior quality and experience should overcome Tunisia's resilience.”

Mistral Mistral 🇸🇪 SWE

65%

“Sweden's superior squad depth and tactical discipline edge Tunisia in a tight group-stage clash.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇸🇪 SWE

63%

“Sweden have the stronger squad and metrics and are rightly favored, with Tunisia a live underdog but less likely”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇸🇪 SWE

55%

“Sweden's superior squad depth and aerial threat edge Tunisia in Monterrey's heat.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇸🇪 SWE

60%

“Sweden's tactical discipline and Isak's finishing edge out a resilient but limited Tunisia side.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇸🇪 Sweden 60% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Sweden."

Tuesday 16 June

AEST

Group H Full time

🇪🇸 Spain

0–0

Cape Verde 🇨🇻

📍 Atlanta

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 49 books ·

🇪🇸 ESP

1.09

-1111 · 88%

🤝 Draw

11.35

+1035 · 9%

🇨🇻 CPV

26.11

+2511 · 4%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇪🇸 ESP

87%

“Spain's elite squad vastly outclasses Cape Verde; a comfortable group-stage win is the overwhelming expectation.”

Gemini Google 🇪🇸 ESP

90%

“Spain's elite technical quality and depth will comfortably overwhelm Cape Verde in a heavily one-sided group stage encounter.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇪🇸 ESP

94%

“Spain's elite depth and control make them overwhelming favourites over Cape Verde in a group-stage mismatch.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇪🇸 ESP

89%

“Spain's elite technical depth and tactical maturity will comfortably dismantle Cape Verde's limited defensive structure.”

Grok xAI 🇪🇸 ESP

91%

“Spain's elite squad depth and quality overwhelm Cape Verde in a mismatch.”

Llama Meta 🇪🇸 ESP

95%

“Strong Spanish team likely to dominate against inexperienced Cape Verde side.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇪🇸 ESP

88%

“Spain's vastly stronger squad and recent form make a home win highly likely against Cape Verde.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇪🇸 ESP

99%

“Overwhelming favorites; massive gulf in quality and depth. Bookmaker odds imply near-certainty, no realistic edge for an upset.”

Mistral Mistral 🇪🇸 ESP

94%

“Spain’s superior squad depth and tournament pedigree overwhelmingly favor them in a group-stage mismatch.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇪🇸 ESP

93%

“Spain are an elite side facing debutants Cape Verde in a heavily lopsided matchup on neutral soil.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇪🇸 ESP

90%

“Spain's elite squad and depth should overwhelm Cape Verde in the group-stage opener.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇪🇸 ESP

92%

“Spain's technical dominance and superior depth should comfortably overwhelm Cape Verde's defensive resolve.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇪🇸 Spain 92% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Spain."

Group G Full time

🇧🇪 Belgium

1–1

Egypt 🇪🇬

📍 Seattle

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 48 books ·

🇧🇪 BEL

1.61

-164 · 59%

🤝 Draw

3.96

+296 · 24%

🇪🇬 EGY

5.67

+467 · 17%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇧🇪 BEL

62%

“Belgium's quality depth and European pedigree should edge a solid Egypt side in a competitive but winnable group opener.”

Gemini Google 🇧🇪 BEL

60%

“Belgium's superior squad depth and elite attacking talent should overpower an Egypt side overly reliant on Mohamed Salah.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇧🇪 BEL

67%

“Belgium's deeper squad and stronger market edge make them likelier, though Egypt can keep it tight.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇧🇪 BEL

72%

“Belgium's elite midfield control and tactical depth will neutralize Egypt's reliance on Salah to secure a comfortable win.”

Grok xAI 🇧🇪 BEL

72%

“Belgium's deeper squad and proven quality outweigh Egypt's reliance on Salah in a neutral-venue group match.”

Llama Meta 🇧🇪 BEL

70%

“Belgium's strong squad depth should overcome Egypt's limited World Cup experience.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇧🇪 BEL

60%

“Belgium's superior squad depth and recent form give them a clear edge over Egypt despite the latter's potential for an upset.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇧🇪 BEL

87%

“Belgium's superior squad depth and tournament experience heavily outweigh Egypt's, even with Salah; 59% market odds feel conservative.”

Mistral Mistral 🇧🇪 BEL

70%

“Belgium's superior squad depth and attacking firepower edge past Egypt's resilience in a tight group opener.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇧🇪 BEL

71%

“Belgium have superior quality and depth and are rightly clear favourites, with models and odds both near 60%+ for a home win.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇧🇪 BEL

63%

“Belgium's quality and experience prevail over Egypt's counter threat in Seattle group play.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇧🇪 BEL

62%

“Belgium's superior squad depth and experience outweigh Egypt's reliance on Salah in a tough group opener.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇧🇪 Belgium 68% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Belgium."

Group H Full time

🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia

1–1

Uruguay 🇺🇾

📍 Miami (Miami Gardens)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 48 books ·

🇸🇦 KSA

7.96

+696 · 12%

🤝 Draw

4.45

+345 · 21%

🇺🇾 URU

1.43

-233 · 67%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇺🇾 URU

72%

“Uruguay's experienced squad and clinical attack should comfortably overcome a Saudi side lacking quality at this level.”

Gemini Google 🇺🇾 URU

75%

“Uruguay's intense high press and superior individual quality under Bielsa will overwhelm Saudi Arabia's defensive block.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇺🇾 URU

78%

“Uruguay’s quality and depth should tell over Saudi Arabia in a group-stage matchup despite the early kickoff.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇺🇾 URU

70%

“Uruguay's elite attacking talent and tactical maturity will comfortably break down Saudi Arabia's low block.”

Grok xAI 🇺🇾 URU

78%

“Uruguay's superior squad, experience and attack outweigh Saudi's occasional upsets in a neutral venue.”

Llama Meta 🇺🇾 URU

70%

“Uruguay's strong squad and Saudi Arabia's historical underperformance”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇺🇾 URU

70%

“Uruguay's superior squad depth and recent form outweigh Saudi Arabia's home advantage in Miami.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇺🇾 URU

80%

“Uruguay's superior squad and tournament experience heavily outweigh Saudi Arabia's chances, even on neutral ground.”

Mistral Mistral 🇺🇾 URU

80%

“Uruguay's superior squad depth, tactical discipline, and big-game experience outweigh Saudi Arabia's home-region advantage.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇺🇾 URU

74%

“Uruguay have a clear talent and tactical edge, and markets plus models strongly back an Uruguay win”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇺🇾 URU

72%

“Uruguay's superior squad quality and physicality prove too much for Saudi Arabia in Miami.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇺🇾 URU

71%

“Uruguay's physicality and technical superiority should comfortably control this match against a limited Saudi side.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇺🇾 Uruguay 74% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Uruguay."

Group G Full time

🇮🇷 Iran

2–2

New Zealand 🇳🇿

📍 Los Angeles (Inglewood)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 48 books ·

🇮🇷 IRN

1.83

-120 · 52%

🤝 Draw

3.45

+245 · 28%

🇳🇿 NZL

4.68

+368 · 20%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇮🇷 IRN

57%

“Iran's superior FIFA ranking and World Cup experience edge out New Zealand; market's 52% aligns with modest Iranian quality advantage.”

Gemini Google 🇮🇷 IRN

55%

“Iran's superior technical quality and World Cup pedigree should prove too strong for a transitioning New Zealand side in Los Angeles.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇮🇷 IRN

57%

“Iran have the edge on the market and overall squad quality; New Zealand can compete, but Iran are likelier to nick it.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇮🇷 IRN

68%

“Iran's World Cup experience, physical midfield control, and tactical discipline will neutralize New Zealand's limited threat.”

Grok xAI 🇮🇷 IRN

62%

“Iran's superior squad depth, experience and recent form outweigh New Zealand's limitations despite the neutral venue.”

Llama Meta 🇮🇷 IRN

70%

“Iran's home form and Asian teams' historical World Cup success edge out New Zealand.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇮🇷 IRN

58%

“Iran's superior ranking and recent form outweigh New Zealand's underdog status.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇮🇷 IRN

78%

“Iran's superior squad depth and experience in high-pressure matches give them a clear edge, aligning with the strong market lean.”

Mistral Mistral 🇮🇷 IRN

65%

“Iran’s superior squad depth and tactical discipline edge NZ in a tight group opener.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇮🇷 IRN

61%

“Iran are the clear market favorite and most projections lean home, with New Zealand's upset chance limited.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇮🇷 IRN

68%

“Iran's superior individual quality and World Cup pedigree should see off an overmatched New Zealand in LA.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇮🇷 IRN

62%

“Iran's superior technical quality and LA's large Iranian crowd support tilt this firmly their way.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇮🇷 Iran 63% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Iran."

Wednesday 17 June

AEST

Group I Full time

🇫🇷 France

3–1

Senegal 🇸🇳

📍 New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🇫🇷 FRA

1.46

-217 · 65%

🤝 Draw

4.38

+338 · 22%

🇸🇳 SEN

7.24

+624 · 13%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇫🇷 FRA

63%

“France's squad depth and quality far exceeds Senegal's; bookmakers strongly favour Les Bleus at 65% in a straightforward group stage match.”

Gemini Google 🇫🇷 FRA

65%

“France's elite squad depth and world-class attacking talent should prove too strong for a resilient but outmatched Senegal side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇫🇷 FRA

68%

“France’s talent edge and market edge outweigh Senegal’s threat; group-stage draws are live, but France are likelier.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇫🇷 FRA

78%

“France's elite attacking depth and tournament pedigree outweigh Senegal's grit, aligning with strong market pricing.”

Grok xAI 🇫🇷 FRA

72%

“France's elite squad depth and quality heavily outweigh Senegal's, aligning with the 65% prior in a neutral venue.”

Llama Meta 🇫🇷 FRA

70%

“France's strong squad and home advantage outweigh Senegal's potential upset”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇫🇷 FRA

68%

“France's superior squad depth outweighs Senegal's resilience, and neutral venue reduces home-field bias.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇫🇷 FRA

70%

“France are strong favorites with 65% market probability and are expected to dominate in East Rutherford.”

Mistral Mistral 🇫🇷 FRA

75%

“France's superior squad depth and tournament experience outweigh Senegal's talent, despite strong bookmaker draw bias.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇫🇷 FRA

72%

“France’s superior squad and depth outweigh Senegal’s threat despite a draw-heavy tournament start”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇫🇷 FRA

70%

“France's elite squad depth and attacking quality justify the heavy market favoritism against a game Senegal.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇫🇷 FRA

68%

“France's elite quality gap too significant; Mbappé and co. overcome cautious group-stage dynamics.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇫🇷 France 70% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — France."

Group I Full time

🇮🇶 Iraq

1–4

Norway 🇳🇴

📍 Boston (Foxborough)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 42 books ·

🇮🇶 IRQ

14.18

+1318 · 7%

🤝 Draw

6.84

+584 · 14%

🇳🇴 NOR

1.2

-500 · 79%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇳🇴 NOR

76%

“Norway's Haaland-led attack vastly outclasses Iraq; market strongly favors Norway at 79% and their quality gap is undeniable.”

Gemini Google 🇳🇴 NOR

80%

“Despite the tournament's high draw rate, Norway's elite talent like Haaland and Ødegaard should comfortably secure three points.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇳🇴 NOR

86%

“Norway's quality edge is huge and the market strongly backs them even in a draw-prone tournament.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇳🇴 NOR

80%

“Haaland and Ødegaard's elite quality dismantles Iraq's low block, overriding the tournament's early draw-heavy anomaly.”

Grok xAI 🇳🇴 NOR

82%

“Norway's elite squad and attack dwarf Iraq's level, aligning with 79% implied probability.”

Llama Meta 🇳🇴 NOR

85%

“Norway's strong away form and Iraq's struggles suggest a likely Norway win.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇳🇴 NOR

82%

“Norway's superior squad and recent form outweigh Iraq's home advantage in a neutral US venue.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇳🇴 NOR

79%

“Norway are overwhelming favorites with a 79% implied probability; Iraq's 7% win chance offers no edge against the strong prior.”

Mistral Mistral 🇳🇴 NOR

85%

“Norway's superior squad depth and attacking quality outweigh Iraq's resilience, especially in a high-stakes group game.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇳🇴 NOR

86%

“Norway’s quality edge and Haaland-led attack outweigh Iraq’s home trend boost in Foxborough”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇳🇴 NOR

80%

“Norway's class tells as star quality breaks down Iraq's deep block in a controlled group opener.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇳🇴 NOR

72%

“Norway's Haaland-led attack outclasses Iraq; tournament draws high but quality gap decisive.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇳🇴 Norway 81% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Norway."

Group J Full time

🇦🇷 Argentina

3–0

Algeria 🇩🇿

📍 Kansas City

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🇦🇷 ARG

1.39

-256 · 69%

🤝 Draw

4.59

+359 · 21%

🇩🇿 ALG

8.9

+790 · 11%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇦🇷 ARG

68%

“Argentina's world-class squad should comfortably handle Algeria, though the high draw rate so far warrants slight caution.”

Gemini Google 🇦🇷 ARG

72%

“Argentina's vast superiority in squad depth and tournament pedigree should comfortably overcome a resilient but outclassed Algerian side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇦🇷 ARG

74%

“Argentina's class and market edge outweigh a draw-prone tournament trend; Algeria can compete but likely falls short.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇦🇷 ARG

78%

“Argentina's elite attack and tournament experience will easily overwhelm Algeria's resilient but outclassed backline.”

Grok xAI 🇦🇷 ARG

85%

“Argentina's elite squad and 69% implied probability dwarf Algeria despite draw-heavy group trends.”

Llama Meta 🇦🇷 ARG

80%

“Argentina's strong prior probability and historical dominance”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇦🇷 ARG

70%

“Argentina's superior talent and home edge outweigh Algeria's underdog status.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇦🇷 ARG

85%

“Argentina's elite quality and 69% model probability against a 50% tournament draw rate; Algeria lacks firepower to exploit any vulnerabilities.”

Mistral Mistral 🇦🇷 ARG

85%

“Argentina's superior squad depth, tournament experience, and attacking firepower outweigh Algeria's resilience in a high-probability home win.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇦🇷 ARG

84%

“Argentina are significantly stronger and widely priced ~70% to win, with most models and markets firmly backing a home victory.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇦🇷 ARG

76%

“Argentina's star-laden squad breaks down Algeria's low block comfortably in Kansas City heat.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇦🇷 ARG

76%

“Argentina's elite attack should break down Algeria's defense, though tournament's high draw rate tempers certainty.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇦🇷 Argentina 78% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Argentina."

Group J Full time

🇦🇹 Austria

3–1

Jordan 🇯🇴

📍 San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🇦🇹 AUT

1.32

-312 · 72%

🤝 Draw

5.42

+442 · 18%

🇯🇴 JOR

9.08

+808 · 11%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇦🇹 AUT

68%

“Austria are heavy favorites vs Jordan; tournament draw-heavy trend tempers confidence slightly but quality gap is significant.”

Gemini Google 🇦🇹 AUT

75%

“Austria's high-pressing system and superior European experience should comfortably overwhelm a resilient but outclassed Jordan side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇦🇹 AUT

82%

“Austria are clear favorites on market strength and squad quality, with Jordan needing a big upset to avoid defeat.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇦🇹 AUT

85%

“Austria's superior squad depth and tactical discipline easily outweigh Jordan's underdog resilience in a mismatch.”

Grok xAI 🇦🇹 AUT

82%

“Austria's 72% implied probability and vast quality gap over Jordan make a home win the clear edge.”

Llama Meta 🇦🇹 AUT

80%

“Austria's strong form and home advantage favour a win over Jordan.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇦🇹 AUT

70%

“Austria's superior quality and home edge outweigh Jordan's underdog threat despite tournament draw tendency.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇦🇹 AUT

90%

“Austria's significant quality edge and bookmaker's 72% implied probability make a home win the overwhelmingly likely outcome.”

Mistral Mistral 🇦🇹 AUT

80%

“Austria’s superior squad depth and experience in high-stakes matches outweigh Jordan’s resilience, especially in a group-stage opener.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇦🇹 AUT

82%

“Austria are materially stronger, heavily favored by markets and models, and Jordan are unlikely to threaten often”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇦🇹 AUT

78%

“Austria's quality gap over Jordan is large; 50% draw trend is inflated by early upsets, not this mismatch.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇦🇹 AUT

78%

“Austria's superior European quality and tactical discipline should comfortably overcome Jordan's limited threat.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇦🇹 Austria 79% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Austria."

Thursday 18 June

AEST

Group K Full time

🇵🇹 Portugal

1–1

DR Congo 🇨🇩

📍 Houston

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 45 books ·

🇵🇹 POR

1.28

-357 · 74%

🤝 Draw

5.62

+462 · 17%

🇨🇩 COD

10.81

+981 · 9%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇵🇹 POR

72%

“Portugal's quality gap is vast; Ronaldo & co should control this comfortably despite the high draw rate so far.”

Gemini Google 🇵🇹 POR

75%

“Portugal's world-class attacking depth and tactical superiority will comfortably overwhelm a resilient but outclassed DR Congo side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇵🇹 POR

82%

“Portugal’s quality edge is clear, and the market strongly backs them despite some group-stage draw volatility.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇵🇹 POR

82%

“Portugal's elite quality and tournament pedigree will comfortably break down DR Congo's defensive structure.”

Grok xAI 🇵🇹 POR

85%

“Portugal's elite squad depth and quality dwarf DR Congo, aligning with 74% market odds in a mismatch.”

Llama Meta 🇵🇹 POR

80%

“Portugal's strong team and DR Congo's inexperience favour a home win”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇵🇹 POR

78%

“Portugal's superior quality and home support outweigh DR Congo's underdog chance, aligning with the strong prior.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇵🇹 POR

88%

“Portugal are heavy favorites with 74% implied probability; no clear edge to bet against them despite tournament draw trend.”

Mistral Mistral 🇵🇹 POR

85%

“Portugal's superior squad depth and attacking firepower outweigh DR Congo's resilience in a high-probability home win.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇵🇹 POR

82%

“Portugal’s quality edge and market odds point to a likely win despite a draw-heavy tournament start.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇵🇹 POR

82%

“Portugal's overwhelming class and firepower are too much for DR Congo to handle in Houston.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇵🇹 POR

78%

“Portugal's elite squad depth outclasses DR Congo, overcoming the tournament's high draw trend.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇵🇹 Portugal 81% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Portugal."

Group L Full time

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England

4–2

Croatia 🇭🇷

📍 Dallas (Arlington)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

1.71

-141 · 56%

🤝 Draw

3.76

+276 · 25%

🇭🇷 CRO

5.01

+401 · 19%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

58%

“England's superior squad depth and Croatia's aging core make an England win likely, aligning with bookmaker edge.”

Gemini Google 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

58%

“England's elite squad depth and peak-age talent should prove too strong for a transitioning Croatian side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

60%

“England have the stronger squad and market edge; Croatia’s draw threat is real but England should edge it.”

Qwen Alibaba 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

62%

“England's elite attacking depth and Croatia's aging midfield override the tournament's draw trend, securing a narrow home win.”

Grok xAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

68%

“England's superior depth and squad quality outweigh Croatia's experience despite draw-heavy group trends.”

Llama Meta 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

65%

“England's home form and tournament trend slightly edge the bookmaker's prior”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

62%

“England's deeper squad and recent form give them an edge over Croatia despite neutral venue.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

58%

“England have 56% implied win probability and stronger overall squad; bookmaker odds align with my assessment.”

Mistral Mistral 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

70%

“England's depth and attacking firepower edge Croatia's aging core in a high-tempo group opener.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

72%

“England’s superior squad and strong pre-tournament form justify them as clear favourites despite draw-heavy early trend.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

60%

“England's superior squad breaks down Croatia's aging defense in a tight Texas group match.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

62%

“England's peak-age core overwhelms a transitioning Croatian side lacking their legendary midfield spine.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 63% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — England."

Group L Full time

🇬🇭 Ghana

1–0

Panama 🇵🇦

📍 Toronto

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🇬🇭 GHA

2.17

+117 · 44%

🤝 Draw

3.35

+235 · 28%

🇵🇦 PAN

3.44

+244 · 28%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇬🇭 GHA

52%

“Ghana's superior attacking quality edges Panama, but market is tight; slight lean to Black Stars in a competitive group opener.”

Gemini Google 🇬🇭 GHA

45%

“Ghana's superior individual quality in attack should prove decisive against a resilient but limited Panama side in Toronto.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇬🇭 GHA

55%

“Ghana are slight market favorites and the neutral venue still points to their stronger win equity.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇬🇭 GHA

60%

“Ghana's superior squad depth and tournament experience should edge a tight contest despite the tournament's high draw rate.”

Grok xAI 🇬🇭 GHA

62%

“Ghana's stronger squad and experience outweigh Panama despite 50% draw rate and slim 44% prior edge.”

Llama Meta 🇬🇭 GHA

55%

“Ghana's home advantage and slight bookmaker edge suggest a win.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇬🇭 GHA

55%

“Ghana's superior talent and home edge give them a slight edge over Panama despite similar market odds.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🤝 Draw

62%

“Tournament trend of 50% draws and bookmaker odds suggest a tight, low-scoring affair; Ghana's slight edge is offset by Panama's resilience.”

Mistral Mistral 🇬🇭 GHA

65%

“Ghana’s attacking depth and home-continent advantage in CONCACAF-hosted tournament edge Panama’s resilience.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇬🇭 GHA

63%

“Market and most models lean slightly to Ghana, whose higher talent edge should tell despite a draw-heavy tournament start.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇬🇭 GHA

60%

“Ghana's athleticism and attacking quality prove too much for Panama's compact defense.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🤝 Draw

55%

“Tournament draw rate (50%) vastly outperforms market odds (28%); Panama's regional familiarity stifles Ghana.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇬🇭 Ghana 57% ✅

10/12 agree

"Strong lean in the tank toward Ghana."

Group K Full time

🇺🇿 Uzbekistan

1–3

Colombia 🇨🇴

📍 Mexico City

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 40 books ·

🇺🇿 UZB

8.67

+767 · 11%

🤝 Draw

4.61

+361 · 21%

🇨🇴 COL

1.39

-256 · 68%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇨🇴 COL

68%

“Colombia are heavy favourites with superior quality; Uzbekistan lack top-tier experience to contain James Rodriguez and co.”

Gemini Google 🇨🇴 COL

70%

“Colombia's superior squad depth, elite attacking options, and comfort at altitude will prove too much for a resilient Uzbekistan side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇨🇴 COL

74%

“Colombia’s quality edge is clear, and despite Mexico City’s altitude, they’re still far likelier to control this.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇨🇴 COL

68%

“Colombia's superior attacking quality and tournament experience should break down Uzbekistan's organized but limited defense.”

Grok xAI 🇨🇴 COL

85%

“Colombia vastly superior in quality and heavily favored at 68% by calibrated bookie odds.”

Llama Meta 🇨🇴 COL

80%

“Colombia's strong prior probability and likely dominance over Uzbekistan”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇨🇴 COL

70%

“Colombia's superior quality outweighs Uzbekistan's limited home advantage at a neutral venue.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇨🇴 COL

70%

“Colombia is vastly superior; market odds give them a 68% win probability against minnow Uzbekistan.”

Mistral Mistral 🇨🇴 COL

80%

“Colombia's superior squad depth and experience in high-altitude venues like Mexico City outweigh Uzbekistan's home-continent boost.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇨🇴 COL

71%

“Colombia’s quality and depth far exceed debutant Uzbekistan’s, and models strongly back a Colombia win despite draw-heavy trends.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇨🇴 COL

70%

“Colombia's class and depth overcome Uzbekistan's discipline in the Mexico City altitude.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇨🇴 COL

68%

“Colombia's superior quality and high-altitude familiarity should overcome Uzbekistan's limited World Cup pedigree.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇨🇴 Colombia 73% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Colombia."

Friday 19 June

AEST

Group A Full time

🇨🇿 Czech Republic

1–1

South Africa 🇿🇦

📍 Atlanta

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 39 books ·

🇨🇿 CZE

1.95

-105 · 48%

🤝 Draw

3.3

+230 · 29%

🇿🇦 RSA

4.08

+308 · 23%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇨🇿 CZE

54%

“Czech Republic need a win to stay alive and have quality edge over South Africa, who were blanked by Mexico.”

Gemini Google 🇨🇿 CZE

55%

“Czech Republic's superior technical quality and physical presence should edge out a South African side struggling for goals.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇨🇿 CZE

58%

“Czech edge in quality and market says near-coinflip; South Africa’s attack has looked blunt.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇨🇿 CZE

65%

“Czechia's technical edge and tactical discipline will likely break down South Africa's deep block in a tense must-win clash.”

Grok xAI 🇨🇿 CZE

55%

“Bookies favor Czech 48% and they are the stronger side despite both sides' opening losses; home edge and draw-heavy trend noted.”

Llama Meta 🇨🇿 CZE

55%

“Czech Republic likely bounce back at home against struggling South Africa.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇨🇿 CZE

58%

“Czech Republic have better attacking form and home designation, while South Africa struggle to score.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇨🇿 CZE

70%

“Czech Republic is slight favorite, stronger offensively, South Africa goal-struggling; home/neutral venue edge tips it.”

Mistral Mistral 🇨🇿 CZE

60%

“Czech Republic's quality and need for points outweigh South Africa's resilience; bookmakers slightly undervalue them.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇨🇿 CZE

63%

“Czechs are stronger on paper and market favorites; South Africa limited in attack so edge to home side”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇨🇿 CZE

55%

“Czechs showed more attacking threat versus Korea and carry higher urgency; slight edge in tight Atlanta heat.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇨🇿 CZE

55%

“Czech quality edges desperate clash; South Africa toothless vs Mexico and Europe's structure prevails.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇨🇿 Czech Republic 59% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Czech Republic."

Group B Full time

🇨🇭 Switzerland

4–1

Bosnia & Herzegovina 🇧🇦

📍 Los Angeles (Inglewood)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 39 books ·

🇨🇭 SUI

1.59

-169 · 59%

🤝 Draw

3.91

+291 · 24%

🇧🇦 BIH

5.63

+463 · 17%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇨🇭 SUI

62%

“Switzerland's superior squad depth and tournament experience should edge Bosnia in a must-not-lose group stage clash.”

Gemini Google 🇨🇭 SUI

60%

“Switzerland's superior tournament experience and squad depth should see them edge past Bosnia in a crucial group stage clash.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇨🇭 SUI

63%

“Switzerland are the stronger side and the market has them clear favorites, though Bosnia’s draw form keeps it competitive.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇨🇭 SUI

65%

“Switzerland's tactical discipline and tournament pedigree edge Bosnia's resilient setup in a tight group clash.”

Grok xAI 🇨🇭 SUI

68%

“Switzerland's superior squad and 59% implied probability outweigh the draw-heavy trend in this group-stage matchup.”

Llama Meta 🇨🇭 SUI

65%

“Switzerland favored by bookmakers and have similar form to Bosnia & Herzegovina”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇨🇭 SUI

62%

“Switzerland's higher squad depth and recent defensive solidity give them a slight edge over Bosnia.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇨🇭 SUI

85%

“Switzerland’s 59% implied probability and superior FIFA rank give them a clear edge, despite the tournament’s high draw rate.”

Mistral Mistral 🇨🇭 SUI

70%

“Switzerland’s superior squad depth and tournament experience edge Bosnia in a tight, low-scoring group opener.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇨🇭 SUI

66%

“Switzerland are the stronger, more balanced side and deserved slight odds-on favoritism despite Bosnia’s resilience.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇨🇭 SUI

60%

“Switzerland's superior squad quality should see them past Bosnia in a neutral-site group game.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇨🇭 SUI

62%

“Switzerland's tactical discipline and tournament pedigree outweigh Bosnia's inconsistent defensive structure.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇨🇭 Switzerland 66% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Switzerland."

Group B Full time

🇨🇦 Canada

6–0

Qatar 🇶🇦

📍 Vancouver

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 39 books ·

🇨🇦 CAN

1.3

-333 · 73%

🤝 Draw

5.16

+416 · 18%

🇶🇦 QAT

10.59

+959 · 9%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇨🇦 CAN

70%

“Canada host Qatar in Vancouver with massive home advantage and significant quality edge; bookmakers strongly favour a Canadian win.”

Gemini Google 🇨🇦 CAN

75%

“Backed by a passionate Vancouver crowd and superior individual quality, Canada should comfortably secure three points against Qatar.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇨🇦 CAN

77%

“Canada's home edge and stronger squad fit make them clear favorites despite Qatar's stubborn draw with Switzerland.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇨🇦 CAN

78%

“Canada's home advantage in Vancouver and superior squad depth heavily favor a win against an outmatched Qatari side.”

Grok xAI 🇨🇦 CAN

78%

“Canada heavy home favorites vs weaker Qatar per bookies and venue in strong prior for 73% win rate.”

Llama Meta 🇨🇦 CAN

80%

“Canada's home advantage and strong prior probability favour a win.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇨🇦 CAN

75%

“Canada's home edge and stronger squad outweigh Qatar's limited threat.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇨🇦 CAN

85%

“Canada's 73% implied probability is well-supported; home advantage and Qatar's low win chance make an upset very unlikely.”

Mistral Mistral 🇨🇦 CAN

75%

“Canada’s home advantage in Vancouver and superior squad depth edge Qatar in a tight group stage clash.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇨🇦 CAN

81%

“Canada are materially stronger, at home, and market plus models all price them heavy odds-on favourites”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇨🇦 CAN

82%

“Canada's home advantage in Vancouver and superior squad depth against a limited Qatar side makes a home win likely.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇨🇦 CAN

70%

“Canada's home advantage in Vancouver and superior squad depth overcome tournament's draw-heavy trend against limited Qatar.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇨🇦 Canada 77% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Canada."

Group A Full time

🇲🇽 Mexico

1–0

South Korea 🇰🇷

📍 Guadalajara (Zapopan)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 39 books ·

🇲🇽 MEX

1.8

-125 · 52%

🤝 Draw

3.5

+250 · 27%

🇰🇷 KOR

4.58

+358 · 21%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Saturday 20 June

AEST

Group D Full time

🇺🇸 USA

2–0

Australia 🇦🇺

📍 Seattle

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 39 books ·

🇺🇸 USA

1.74

-135 · 54%

🤝 Draw

3.76

+276 · 25%

🇦🇺 AUS

4.5

+350 · 21%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇺🇸 USA

58%

“USA's home advantage in Seattle and superior attacking output edge out a competitive but weaker-ranked Socceroos side.”

Gemini Google 🇺🇸 USA

58%

“Backed by a passionate Seattle crowd after a clinical 4-1 opening win, the USA's superior attacking depth will edge a stout Australia.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇺🇸 USA

62%

“USA's attack has been sharper and home edge in Seattle tips a tight group-stage win.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇺🇸 USA

65%

“USA's explosive attack and massive Seattle home advantage should break down Australia's disciplined backline.”

Grok xAI 🇺🇸 USA

62%

“USA's home venue edge in Seattle plus stronger attack edges out Australia's solid start per bookmaker priors.”

Llama Meta 🇺🇸 USA

60%

“USA favored at home with strong form and slight bookmaker edge”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇺🇸 USA

68%

“USA's higher scoring form and home-field edge give them the advantage over Australia's solid but less prolific defense.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇺🇸 USA

75%

“USA dominate at home, strong form, and bookmakers heavily favor them; tournament trend supports home wins.”

Mistral Mistral 🇺🇸 USA

65%

“USA’s attacking depth and home advantage in Seattle outweigh Australia’s resilience, despite tight group context.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇺🇸 USA

68%

“Home edge in Seattle plus stronger squad depth make USA rightful favourites despite live Aussie threat on counter”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇺🇸 USA

70%

“USA's rampant home form and Seattle advantage should see off a disciplined but limited Australia.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇺🇸 USA

62%

“USA's home advantage in Seattle and dominant opening form outweigh Australia's disciplined approach.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇺🇸 USA 64% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — USA."

Group C Full time

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland

0–1

Morocco 🇲🇦

📍 Boston (Foxborough)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 39 books ·

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

4.06

+306 · 23%

🤝 Draw

3.26

+226 · 29%

🇲🇦 MAR

1.97

-103 · 48%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇲🇦 MAR

52%

“Morocco, fresh from drawing Brazil, have quality to overcome a Scotland side that beat Haiti; market strongly favours them at 48%.”

Gemini Google 🇲🇦 MAR

55%

“Morocco's impressive draw against Brazil highlights their superior quality and form, making them strong favorites to outclass Scotland.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇲🇦 MAR

53%

“Morocco are the stronger side and need points, while the market slightly favors them despite Scotland's opening win.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇲🇦 MAR

65%

“Morocco's elite defensive structure and superior attacking talent outweigh Scotland's narrow win over a weaker Haitian side.”

Grok xAI 🇲🇦 MAR

62%

“Morocco's higher quality and 48% implied prob outweigh Scotland's narrow points lead in a neutral US venue with draw-heavy trends.”

Llama Meta 🇲🇦 MAR

60%

“Morocco's strong defensive record and Scotland's limited attack”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇲🇦 MAR

60%

“Morocco held Brazil to a draw showing solid form, while Scotland's win came vs lowly Haiti, giving the edge to the visitors.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇲🇦 MAR

67%

“Morocco held Brazil to a draw and have more quality; Scotland's win over Haiti was less convincing, so value lies with the away side.”

Mistral Mistral 🇲🇦 MAR

65%

“Morocco's technical edge and tournament form suggest they'll break down Scotland's resilient but limited attack.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇲🇦 MAR

63%

“Morocco’s superior talent and attacking edge over 90 mins outweigh Scotland’s defensive solidity”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇲🇦 MAR

60%

“Morocco's quality and urgency after drawing Brazil trumps Scotland's narrow Haiti win.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇲🇦 MAR

55%

“Morocco's quality and depth outweigh Scotland's narrow opening win; draw-heavy trend keeps confidence modest.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇲🇦 Morocco 60% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Morocco."

Group C Full time

🇧🇷 Brazil

3–0

Haiti 🇭🇹

📍 Philadelphia

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 36 books ·

🇧🇷 BRA

1.08

-1250 · 88%

🤝 Draw

11.62

+1062 · 8%

🇭🇹 HAI

27.57

+2657 · 4%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇧🇷 BRA

85%

“Brazil desperately need a win after drawing Morocco; Haiti are outclassed and under pressure after losing to Scotland.”

Gemini Google 🇧🇷 BRA

92%

“Brazil must secure a win after dropping points against Morocco, and their world-class attack will be far too strong for Haiti.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇧🇷 BRA

94%

“Brazil are vastly superior and need the points; Haiti have already shown limited attacking threat.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇧🇷 BRA

88%

“Brazil's elite attack and must-win urgency will overwhelm a limited Haitian side that failed to score against Scotland.”

Grok xAI 🇧🇷 BRA

95%

“Brazil's elite squad and 88% implied odds dwarf Haiti's level in a mismatch.”

Llama Meta 🇧🇷 BRA

90%

“Brazil's class should overcome Haiti despite a tight prior”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇧🇷 BRA

88%

“Brazil's superior quality and recent form outweigh Haiti's limited attacking threat.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇧🇷 BRA

98%

“Brazil's massive talent gap and 88% implied probability overwhelm Haiti's narrow loss to Scotland; no edge to bet against a rout.”

Mistral Mistral 🇧🇷 BRA

92%

“Brazil's superior squad depth and attacking firepower will break down Haiti despite their resilience and tournament underdog trend.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇧🇷 BRA

93%

“Huge quality gap and markets give Brazil ~88% win chance; they should dominate Haiti comfortably in this group match.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇧🇷 BRA

90%

“Brazil's quality and urgency after dropping points against Morocco overwhelms a Haiti side already struggling for goals.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇧🇷 BRA

94%

“Massive quality gap; Brazil desperate after draw, Haiti offered nothing vs Scotland.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇧🇷 Brazil 92% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Brazil."

Group D Full time

🇹🇷 Turkey

0–1

Paraguay 🇵🇾

📍 San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 38 books ·

🇹🇷 TUR

2.21

+121 · 42%

🤝 Draw

3.15

+215 · 30%

🇵🇾 PAR

3.39

+239 · 28%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇹🇷 TUR

55%

“Turkey, despite their opener loss, have more quality than Paraguay who were thrashed 4-1; both desperate but Turkey edge it.”

Gemini Google 🇹🇷 TUR

45%

“Turkey's superior technical quality should edge out a vulnerable Paraguay defense that conceded four goals in their opening match.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇹🇷 TUR

53%

“Turkey are slight market favorites and should respond after the opening loss, while Paraguay's defense looks vulnerable.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇹🇷 TUR

58%

“Turkey's superior attacking quality should exploit Paraguay's leaky backline in a crucial, high-pressure must-win clash.”

Grok xAI 🇹🇷 TUR

48%

“Bookies favor Turkey (42%) and they conceded fewer goals than Paraguay in their respective opening losses.”

Llama Meta 🇹🇷 TUR

55%

“Turkey favored by bookmakers and likely to bounce back from loss.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇹🇷 TUR

55%

“Turkey's defense conceded only two vs Australia while Paraguay leaked four vs USA, giving Turkey a slight edge.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🤝 Draw

65%

“Both teams lost their openers and need a result; Turkey's slight edge is offset by Paraguay's resilience, making a stalemate likely.”

Mistral Mistral 🇹🇷 TUR

65%

“Turkey’s attacking depth and need for points outweigh Paraguay’s resilience; bookmakers slightly undervalue Turkish pressure.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇹🇷 TUR

63%

“Turkey have a slightly higher ceiling and broader market support; must-win spot suits them better than Paraguay.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇹🇷 TUR

60%

“Turkey need the win and have the quality to break down a Paraguay side rocked by a 4-1 defeat.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇹🇷 TUR

58%

“Turkey's defense was respectable vs Australia; Paraguay conceded 4 to USA. Turkey has quality edge in must-win.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇹🇷 Turkey 56% ❌

11/12 agree

"Strong lean in the tank toward Turkey."

Sunday 21 June

AEST

Group F Full time

🇳🇱 Netherlands

5–1

Sweden 🇸🇪

📍 Houston

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 38 books ·

🇳🇱 NED

1.63

-159 · 58%

🤝 Draw

3.95

+295 · 24%

🇸🇪 SWE

5.14

+414 · 18%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇳🇱 NED

62%

“Netherlands need a win to stay in contention; superior squad quality should edge Sweden despite their strong opener vs Tunisia.”

Gemini Google 🇳🇱 NED

55%

“Despite Sweden's opening 5-1 win, the Netherlands possess superior squad depth and will be highly motivated to secure their first victory.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇳🇱 NED

64%

“Netherlands still have the stronger squad and need the result, while Sweden may be content to stay solid after a big win.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇳🇱 NED

65%

“Dutch squad depth and pedigree outweigh Sweden's early momentum; market pricing and tactical edge favor Netherlands.”

Grok xAI 🇳🇱 NED

62%

“Netherlands are stronger squad with home edge and bookies 58% prior; Sweden's hot start unlikely to hold in Houston.”

Llama Meta 🇳🇱 NED

60%

“Netherlands edge Sweden due to slight bookmaker bias and home advantage”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇳🇱 NED

62%

“Netherlands have slightly better defensive record and home edge, though Sweden's attack is potent.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇳🇱 NED

75%

“Netherlands need a win after drawing Japan, while Sweden's big win came against weak Tunisia; Dutch quality and depth should prevail.”

Mistral Mistral 🇳🇱 NED

65%

“Netherlands' attacking depth and Sweden's defensive vulnerabilities post-5-1 win suggest a narrow Dutch victory in a tight group clash.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇳🇱 NED

63%

“Netherlands are stronger and motivated after Japan draw, and market plus models still lean clearly to a narrow Dutch win”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇳🇱 NED

70%

“Netherlands' superior class tells against a Sweden side whose opener came versus weak Tunisia.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇳🇱 NED

58%

“Netherlands' superior quality and urgency; Sweden's 5-1 was vs weakest team, Dutch draw vs solid Japan.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇳🇱 Netherlands 63% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Netherlands."

Group E Full time

🇩🇪 Germany

2–1

Ivory Coast 🇨🇮

📍 Toronto

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 39 books ·

🇩🇪 GER

1.55

-182 · 61%

🤝 Draw

4.21

+321 · 22%

🇨🇮 CIV

5.58

+458 · 17%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇩🇪 GER

65%

“Germany's firepower and depth far exceed Ivory Coast's; 7-1 opener signals clinical form despite Ivory Coast's solid defensive showing.”

Gemini Google 🇩🇪 GER

65%

“Germany's rampant seven-goal opening display suggests their attack is in peak form, likely too potent for a resilient Ivory Coast side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇩🇪 GER

72%

“Germany's huge goal difference and market edge make them favorites despite Ivory Coast's tidy start.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇩🇪 GER

72%

“Germany's clinical attack and strong market backing should overpower Ivory Coast's pragmatic 1-0 opening win.”

Grok xAI 🇩🇪 GER

78%

“Germany's elite squad depth and 7-1 demolition far outclass Ivory Coast despite both sides' opening wins.”

Llama Meta 🇩🇪 GER

70%

“Germany's strong attacking form and Ivory Coast's defensive vulnerability”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇩🇪 GER

66%

“Germany's potent attack (7 goals) should overcome Ivory Coast's modest scoring, making a home win likely.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇩🇪 GER

85%

“Germany's 7-1 demolition shows overwhelming firepower; Ivory Coast's narrow 1-0 win doesn't suggest they can withstand that level in Toronto.”

Mistral Mistral 🇩🇪 GER

75%

“Germany’s attacking firepower and depth outweigh Ivory Coast’s resilience, especially with home advantage in a high-scoring group.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇩🇪 GER

71%

“Germany’s 61% market edge and dominant 7-1 opener outweigh Ivory Coast’s solid start.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇩🇪 GER

70%

“Germany's ruthless attack and superior quality overwhelms Ivory Coast's organised but limited defence.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇩🇪 GER

68%

“Germany's 7-goal outburst shows elite form; Ivory Coast's defense held but Germany's class prevails.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇩🇪 Germany 71% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Germany."

Group E Full time

🇪🇨 Ecuador

0–0

Curaçao 🇨🇼

📍 Kansas City

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 39 books ·

🇪🇨 ECU

1.2

-500 · 79%

🤝 Draw

6.67

+567 · 14%

🇨🇼 CUW

14.27

+1327 · 7%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇪🇨 ECU

82%

“Ecuador desperate for points after loss; Curaçao conceded 7 to Germany and are massively outclassed at this level.”

Gemini Google 🇪🇨 ECU

85%

“Ecuador's defensive solidity and superior quality will easily overwhelm a Curaçao side that leaked seven goals in their opener.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇪🇨 ECU

84%

“Ecuador are far stronger and should respond after a narrow loss; Curaçao's 7-1 opening defeat points to another tough night.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇪🇨 ECU

85%

“Ecuador's superior quality and must-win urgency will easily dismantle a Curaçao side reeling from a heavy defensive collapse.”

Grok xAI 🇪🇨 ECU

85%

“Ecuador far stronger than Curaçao per bookies and results; expect dominant home win.”

Llama Meta 🇪🇨 ECU

85%

“Ecuador likely bounces back against weaker Curaçao side”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇪🇨 ECU

80%

“Ecuador showed resilience vs Ivory Coast while Curaçao conceded seven to Germany, indicating a clear quality gap.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇪🇨 ECU

90%

“Ecuador heavily favored; Curaçao struggling defensively after 7-1 loss.”

Mistral Mistral 🇪🇨 ECU

85%

“Ecuador’s quality gap and need for points outweigh Curaçao’s resilience; bookmakers’ strong lean aligns with form.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇪🇨 ECU

78%

“Ecuador are clearly superior and more solid defensively, while Curaçao’s 7–1 loss exposes a fragile back line.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇪🇨 ECU

85%

“Ecuador's quality and urgency after an opening loss will overwhelm a Curaçao side reeling from a 7-1 thrashing.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇪🇨 ECU

88%

“Quality gap massive; Curaçao conceded 7 last out; Ecuador needs points and faces a defense that leaked 7 goals.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇪🇨 Ecuador 84% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Ecuador."

Group F Full time

🇹🇳 Tunisia

0–4

Japan 🇯🇵

📍 Monterrey (Guadalupe)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 39 books ·

🇹🇳 TUN

5.12

+412 · 18%

🤝 Draw

3.53

+253 · 27%

🇯🇵 JPN

1.72

-139 · 55%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇯🇵 JPN

62%

“Japan showed quality drawing Netherlands; Tunisia were thrashed 5-1 by Sweden and need a win, leaving space for Japan to exploit.”

Gemini Google 🇯🇵 JPN

62%

“Japan's strong showing against the Netherlands contrasts sharply with Tunisia's defensive collapse against Sweden, making an away win likely.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇯🇵 JPN

68%

“Japan are the stronger side and need the points, while Tunisia's heavy opening loss suggests a tough matchup.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇯🇵 JPN

65%

“Japan's cohesive attack exploits Tunisia's defensive fragility after a heavy opening loss.”

Grok xAI 🇯🇵 JPN

62%

“Japan heavy favorites per bookies (55%) with better squad depth; Tunisia's heavy loss to Sweden signals weakness.”

Llama Meta 🇯🇵 JPN

65%

“Japan favored by bookmakers and has shown resilience in a tough draw.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇯🇵 JPN

68%

“Japan's superior form and Tunisia's heavy loss suggest an away win.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇯🇵 JPN

85%

“Japan drew with Netherlands while Tunisia was thrashed by Sweden, showing a clear class gap.”

Mistral Mistral 🇯🇵 JPN

70%

“Japan's technical superiority and tournament trend of away resilience outweigh Tunisia's struggles, despite the market's slight undervaluation.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇯🇵 JPN

72%

“Japan’s superior quality, depth and form plus Tunisia’s fragile defence make an away win clearly likelier than draw or home”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇯🇵 JPN

72%

“Japan looked sharp against the Dutch and Tunisia's backline was shredded by Sweden; the Samurai Blue have far more quality.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇯🇵 JPN

58%

“Japan's quality edge and Tunisia's defensive collapse vs Sweden; Samurai Blue controlled stretches vs Netherlands and should capitalize.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇯🇵 Japan 67% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Japan."

Monday 22 June

AEST

Group H Full time

🇪🇸 Spain

4–0

Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦

📍 Atlanta

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 39 books ·

🇪🇸 ESP

1.1

-1000 · 86%

🤝 Draw

9.42

+842 · 10%

🇸🇦 KSA

23.38

+2238 · 4%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇪🇸 ESP

82%

“Spain's class far exceeds Saudi Arabia's despite a slow start; expect La Roja to dominate possession and find the net in Atlanta.”

Gemini Google 🇪🇸 ESP

85%

“Spain will dominate possession and find their clinical edge to secure three points after a frustrating opening draw against Cape Verde.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇪🇸 ESP

88%

“Spain’s quality and market edge are overwhelming; Saudi can frustrate, but Spain should take it.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇪🇸 ESP

88%

“Spain's elite midfield control and press will dismantle Saudi's low block, securing a vital win after their cautious opener.”

Grok xAI 🇪🇸 ESP

92%

“Spain's elite squad and attacking depth overwhelm Saudi Arabia, aligning with 86% bookmaker probability and tournament home dominance.”

Llama Meta 🇪🇸 ESP

85%

“Spain's superior squad depth and form should prevail against Saudi Arabia.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇪🇸 ESP

85%

“Spain's superior quality and attacking depth should overcome Saudi Arabia's resilient but limited side.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇪🇸 ESP

90%

“Spain's overwhelming talent and depth will dominate; Saudi Arabia's draw vs Uruguay was a fluke, and the market's 86% win probability is well-founded.”

Mistral Mistral 🇪🇸 ESP

90%

“Spain's superior squad depth and technical quality will break down Saudi Arabia's defensive shape in the second half.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇪🇸 ESP

88%

“Spain are vastly stronger and heavily odds-on favourites; Saudi Arabia likely sit deep but outclassed over 90 mins.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇪🇸 ESP

85%

“Spain's elite quality and urgency after an opening draw will break down Saudi Arabia's defence for a vital win.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇪🇸 ESP

88%

“Massive gulf in class; Spain's possession game will overwhelm Saudi Arabia's defensive structure.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇪🇸 Spain 87% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Spain."

Group G Full time

🇧🇪 Belgium

0–0

Iran 🇮🇷

📍 Los Angeles (Inglewood)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 38 books ·

🇧🇪 BEL

1.39

-256 · 68%

🤝 Draw

4.62

+362 · 20%

🇮🇷 IRN

7.92

+692 · 12%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇧🇪 BEL

68%

“Belgium's superior squad depth and quality should overcome Iran's defensive resilience; market 68% aligns with this read.”

Gemini Google 🇧🇪 BEL

72%

“Belgium's superior individual quality and motivation to rebound from an opening draw will prove too much for Iran's leaky defense.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇧🇪 BEL

72%

“Belgium's class and market edge outweigh Iran's draw threat, especially after Belgium's steadier opener.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇧🇪 BEL

80%

“Belgium's elite attack will easily breach Iran's porous defense, securing a necessary win after their opening draw.”

Grok xAI 🇧🇪 BEL

82%

“Belgium's vastly superior squad depth and quality should overpower Iran despite both sides starting with draws.”

Llama Meta 🇧🇪 BEL

70%

“Belgium's superior squad depth should prevail despite Iran's resilience.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇧🇪 BEL

70%

“Belgium's higher quality squad and home advantage outweigh Iran's recent scoring form.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇧🇪 BEL

70%

“Bookmaker consensus shows 68% win probability for Belgium; their superior squad should overcome Iran's resistance.”

Mistral Mistral 🇧🇪 BEL

75%

“Belgium's superior squad depth and attacking quality edge Iran, despite group-stage rust and Iran's resilience.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇧🇪 BEL

78%

“Belgium are clear class and data favourites over Iran and should convert a dominant share of chances in LA.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇧🇪 BEL

70%

“Belgium's attacking class ultimately overwhelms Iran's organized but vulnerable backline.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇧🇪 BEL

70%

“Belgium's superior quality shows against Iran, who struggled to draw New Zealand; Red Devils grind out crucial win.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇧🇪 Belgium 73% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Belgium."

Group H Full time

🇺🇾 Uruguay

2–2

Cape Verde 🇨🇻

📍 Miami (Miami Gardens)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 39 books ·

🇺🇾 URU

1.43

-233 · 66%

🤝 Draw

4.4

+340 · 21%

🇨🇻 CPV

7.26

+626 · 13%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇺🇾 URU

68%

“Uruguay need a win after drawing Saudi Arabia; quality gap over Cape Verde should tell despite their resilient 0-0 vs Spain.”

Gemini Google 🇺🇾 URU

70%

“Uruguay's superior attacking quality will break down a resilient Cape Verde side to secure a vital three points in Miami.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇺🇾 URU

73%

“Uruguay have the clear class edge and the market strongly favors them, with Cape Verde likely to sit deep.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇺🇾 URU

75%

“Uruguay's superior quality and desperation for points will break down Cape Verde's compact defense in a must-win group clash.”

Grok xAI 🇺🇾 URU

82%

“Uruguay's vastly superior squad depth and pedigree overwhelm Cape Verde despite the draw-heavy group trend.”

Llama Meta 🇺🇾 URU

70%

“Uruguay favored by bookmakers and has edge over Cape Verde historically.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇺🇾 URU

70%

“Uruguay's superior quality and home advantage should overcome Cape Verde's resilient defence.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇺🇾 URU

92%

“Uruguay's superior quality and 66% implied probability dominate, plus Cape Verde's limited threat shown in 0-0 vs Spain.”

Mistral Mistral 🇺🇾 URU

78%

“Uruguay's superior squad depth and tournament experience outweigh Cape Verde's resilience, especially in a tight group.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇺🇾 URU

72%

“Uruguay’s superior quality and depth should tell over 90 minutes despite Cape Verde’s resilience.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇺🇾 URU

72%

“Uruguay’s class and desperation for a win breaks down Cape Verde, who expended huge energy holding Spain.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇺🇾 URU

68%

“Uruguay's superior quality should prevail despite sluggish opener; Cape Verde's defensive resilience vs Spain won't hold over 90 mins.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇺🇾 Uruguay 74% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Uruguay."

Group G Full time

🇳🇿 New Zealand

1–3

Egypt 🇪🇬

📍 Vancouver

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 39 books ·

🇳🇿 NZL

4.84

+384 · 20%

🤝 Draw

3.64

+264 · 26%

🇪🇬 EGY

1.73

-137 · 55%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇪🇬 EGY

55%

“Egypt's superior squad quality and African Cup experience should edge out a New Zealand side that struggled vs Iran.”

Gemini Google 🇪🇬 EGY

60%

“Egypt's impressive opening draw against Belgium highlights their superior quality, which should prove too much for New Zealand to handle.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇪🇬 EGY

59%

“Egypt have the edge in quality and the market strongly favors them, though NZ can keep it tight.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇪🇬 EGY

65%

“Egypt's superior attacking quality and pedigree should edge a leaky NZ defence, validating the heavy away favorite.”

Grok xAI 🇪🇬 EGY

65%

“Egypt are markedly stronger and bookies give them 55% implied win probability despite NZ home designation.”

Llama Meta 🤝 Draw

60%

“Both teams drew their first matches, indicating similar group stage readiness.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇪🇬 EGY

60%

“Egypt's marginally better quality and recent draw against Belgium suggest they edge New Zealand in a tight group match.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇪🇬 EGY

70%

“Egypt's superior squad quality and strong performance against Belgium make them clear favourites to beat a limited New Zealand side.”

Mistral Mistral 🇪🇬 EGY

65%

“Egypt's superior technical quality and tournament experience edge New Zealand in a tight, low-scoring group stage clash.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇪🇬 EGY

66%

“Egypt have the clear quality edge and market support; New Zealand likely struggle to contain their attack.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇪🇬 EGY

65%

“Egypt's superior talent and urgency should break down a disciplined but limited New Zealand side.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇪🇬 EGY

62%

“Egypt's quality edge with Salah plus stronger showing vs Belgium should overcome NZ's physical approach.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇪🇬 Egypt 63% ✅

11/12 agree

"Strong lean in the tank toward Egypt."

Tuesday 23 June

AEST

Group J Full time

🇦🇷 Argentina

2–0

Austria 🇦🇹

📍 Dallas (Arlington)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🇦🇷 ARG

1.57

-175 · 60%

🤝 Draw

3.97

+297 · 24%

🇦🇹 AUT

6.15

+515 · 16%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇦🇷 ARG

68%

“Argentina's world-class attack and defensive solidity should overpower Austria, who impressed vs Jordan but face a significant step up in quality.”

Gemini Google 🇦🇷 ARG

65%

“Argentina's elite squad depth and tournament experience will prove too strong for a spirited but outclassed Austrian side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇦🇷 ARG

68%

“Argentina’s stronger squad and clean start edge Austria, though Austria’s form keeps this from being a lock.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇦🇷 ARG

65%

“Argentina's elite attack and tournament pedigree will outlast Austria's high press in a high-scoring encounter.”

Grok xAI 🇦🇷 ARG

78%

“Argentina's elite squad depth and 3-0 win over Algeria outweigh Austria's solid opener vs Jordan.”

Llama Meta 🇦🇷 ARG

70%

“Argentina's strong form and home advantage outweigh Austria's decent start”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇦🇷 ARG

68%

“Argentina's superior talent and home edge likely overcome Austria despite both winning openers.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇦🇷 ARG

85%

“Argentina's dominant opener and 60% market probability, plus Austria's weaker opponent, make a home win highly likely.”

Mistral Mistral 🇦🇷 ARG

70%

“Argentina's squad depth, tournament experience, and defensive solidity edge Austria's attacking threat in a tight group.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇦🇷 ARG

69%

“Argentina are the stronger side with better talent and underlying odds, though Austria are good enough to keep it competitive.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇦🇷 ARG

70%

“Argentina's star power and massive Dallas backing see off a game Austria side.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇦🇷 ARG

70%

“Argentina's elite quality and clean sheet vs Austria's defensive gaps against Jordan; champions too strong here.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇦🇷 Argentina 71% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Argentina."

Group I Full time

🇫🇷 France

3–0

Iraq 🇮🇶

📍 Philadelphia

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🇫🇷 FRA

1.09

-1111 · 88%

🤝 Draw

11.33

+1033 · 8%

🇮🇶 IRQ

29.29

+2829 · 3%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇫🇷 FRA

90%

“France are vastly superior to Iraq, who conceded 4 to Norway; Les Bleus should win comfortably in Philadelphia.”

Gemini Google 🇫🇷 FRA

92%

“France's elite attack will comfortably dismantle an Iraq side that already conceded four goals to Norway in their opening match.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇫🇷 FRA

92%

“France are vastly stronger and in good form; Iraq's defense has already been exposed.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇫🇷 FRA

88%

“France's elite attack will exploit Iraq's fragile defense, mirroring Norway's heavy win to secure comfortable progression.”

Grok xAI 🇫🇷 FRA

95%

“France's world-class squad and 3-1 win over Senegal dwarf Iraq's heavy loss to Norway, aligning with 88% bookmaker odds.”

Llama Meta 🇫🇷 FRA

85%

“France favored to win, Iraq struggling after 1-4 loss to Norway”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇫🇷 FRA

88%

“France's attacking depth and defensive solidity outweigh Iraq's limited offense and high concession rate.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇫🇷 FRA

98%

“France dominates in quality and form; Iraq's heavy loss to Norway and 3% win probability offer no edge to oppose the overwhelming favorite.”

Mistral Mistral 🇫🇷 FRA

92%

“France’s superior squad depth, attacking firepower, and tournament experience make them heavy favorites despite Iraq’s resilience.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇫🇷 FRA

90%

“Huge quality gap plus dominant market odds point to France winning comfortably more often than not.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇫🇷 FRA

90%

“France's firepower meets an Iraq side that conceded four to Norway; a comfortable home win looms.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇫🇷 FRA

92%

“Massive quality gap; France elite vs Iraq's porous defense that conceded 4 to Norway.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇫🇷 France 91% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — France."

Group I Full time

🇳🇴 Norway

3–2

Senegal 🇸🇳

📍 New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🇳🇴 NOR

2.23

+123 · 43%

🤝 Draw

3.47

+247 · 27%

🇸🇳 SEN

3.18

+218 · 30%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇳🇴 NOR

57%

“Norway's strong opener vs Iraq and Senegal's poor start vs France gives Norway the edge in a must-win clash for both sides.”

Gemini Google 🇳🇴 NOR

45%

“Norway's elite attacking duo of Haaland and Ødegaard will exploit a vulnerable Senegal defense that struggled heavily against France.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇳🇴 NOR

56%

“Norway look sharper and already beat stronger resistance, but Senegal's talent keeps it competitive.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇳🇴 NOR

62%

“Norway's clinical attack and strong tournament home-win trend exploit Senegal's shaky defense after a heavy opening defeat.”

Grok xAI 🇳🇴 NOR

55%

“Norway's 4-1 win and squad edge outweigh bookies' slim 43% prior vs Senegal's loss.”

Llama Meta 🇳🇴 NOR

55%

“Norway's strong start and Senegal's loss to France suggest Norway's superiority.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇳🇴 NOR

58%

“Norway's attacking form and home edge outweigh Senegal's loss to France.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇳🇴 NOR

65%

“Norway's 4-1 win shows strong attack; Senegal conceded 3 to France. Norway's momentum and bookmaker edge make them favorites.”

Mistral Mistral 🇳🇴 NOR

70%

“Norway’s attacking prowess and Senegal’s defensive frailties suggest Norway can exploit gaps despite bookmaker odds favoring a closer game.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇳🇴 NOR

59%

“Norway’s attack and form edge a tight matchup where both sides likely score but Norway convert more chances.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇳🇴 NOR

60%

“Norway's potent Haaland-led attack and opening 4-1 form exploit a Senegal side that must gamble for points after losing.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇳🇴 NOR

55%

“Norway's dominant 4-1 opener and Haaland factor outweigh Senegal's desperation after France loss.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇳🇴 Norway 58% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Norway."

Group J Full time

🇯🇴 Jordan

1–2

Algeria 🇩🇿

📍 San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🇯🇴 JOR

6.02

+502 · 16%

🤝 Draw

4.14

+314 · 23%

🇩🇿 ALG

1.56

-179 · 61%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇩🇿 ALG

62%

“Algeria, despite their 3-0 loss to Argentina, are stronger than Jordan and need a win to survive; bookmakers strongly favour them at 61%.”

Gemini Google 🇩🇿 ALG

60%

“Algeria's superior squad depth and technical quality should prove too strong for Jordan in a must-win bounce-back game for both sides.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇩🇿 ALG

68%

“Algeria are the stronger side and market-backed; Jordan's loss to Austria suggests a tougher route to points.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇩🇿 ALG

68%

“Algeria's superior quality and motivation to bounce back after a heavy loss give them a clear tactical edge over Jordan.”

Grok xAI 🇩🇿 ALG

65%

“Algeria is the stronger side per bookies (61%) and has more experience despite both teams' opening losses.”

Llama Meta 🇩🇿 ALG

70%

“Algeria favored by bookmakers and has stronger team profile”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🤝 Draw

55%

“Both teams struggled offensively and defensively against strong opponents, making a low-scoring draw plausible.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇩🇿 ALG

78%

“Algeria's superior quality and desperation after a heavy loss to Argentina should overwhelm a Jordan side already beaten 3-1 by Austria.”

Mistral Mistral 🇩🇿 ALG

75%

“Algeria’s attacking quality and need for points outweigh Jordan’s resilience, despite home advantage in the group.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇩🇿 ALG

69%

“Algeria have clear talent and depth edge; Jordan limited in quality, so odds-backed Algerian win is likeliest”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇩🇿 ALG

70%

“Algeria's superior talent and desperation after a 3-0 loss proves too much for Jordan's vulnerable defense.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇩🇿 ALG

65%

“Algeria's superior quality showed even in loss to Argentina; Jordan outclassed by Austria and gap in class is clear.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇩🇿 Algeria 68% ✅

11/12 agree

"Strong lean in the tank toward Algeria."

Wednesday 24 June

AEST

Group K Full time

🇵🇹 Portugal

5–0

Uzbekistan 🇺🇿

📍 Houston

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🇵🇹 POR

1.2

-500 · 80%

🤝 Draw

6.85

+585 · 14%

🇺🇿 UZB

14.98

+1398 · 6%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇵🇹 POR

82%

“Portugal need a win after drawing DR Congo; Uzbekistan conceded 3 to Colombia and lack quality to contain Ronaldo's side.”

Gemini Google 🇵🇹 POR

85%

“Portugal must bounce back after a disappointing draw, and their elite squad depth will comfortably overwhelm Uzbekistan's defense.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇵🇹 POR

87%

“Portugal are far stronger and need points; Uzbekistan have already looked vulnerable defensively.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇵🇹 POR

85%

“Portugal's elite squad depth and tactical superiority will comfortably dismantle a defensively fragile Uzbekistan side.”

Grok xAI 🇵🇹 POR

85%

“Portugal are overwhelming favorites vs far weaker Uzbekistan and should win comfortably.”

Llama Meta 🇵🇹 POR

80%

“Portugal's strong team and home advantage favour a win.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇵🇹 POR

80%

“Portugal's higher ranking and stronger squad make a win likely, while Uzbekistan has struggled defensively.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇵🇹 POR

85%

“Portugal heavily favored (80% implied), far stronger squad, and Uzbekistan lost to Colombia; no edge to oppose the clear favourite.”

Mistral Mistral 🇵🇹 POR

85%

“Portugal's superior squad depth and attacking quality outweigh Uzbekistan's resilience, especially in a must-win group game.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇵🇹 POR

86%

“Portugal’s market edge is huge, and Uzbekistan already looked vulnerable in a 1–3 loss to Colombia.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇵🇹 POR

86%

“Portugal's talent and urgency after an opening draw will overwhelm a game but outclassed Uzbekistan side.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇵🇹 POR

82%

“Portugal's superior quality and urgency after dropping points vs DR Congo; Uzbekistan's defense leaked three to Colombia.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇵🇹 Portugal 84% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Portugal."

Group L Full time

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England

0–0

Ghana 🇬🇭

📍 Boston (Foxborough)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

1.21

-476 · 79%

🤝 Draw

6.55

+555 · 15%

🇬🇭 GHA

14.11

+1311 · 7%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

78%

“England's quality and depth far exceed Ghana's; a 4-2 opening win shows attacking intent and they should advance comfortably here.”

Gemini Google 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

82%

“England's potent attack, which put four past Croatia, should easily break down a defensive-minded Ghana side to secure qualification.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

84%

“England look stronger, have scoring form, and the market heavily favors them despite Ghana's solid start.”

Qwen Alibaba 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

85%

“England's elite attacking depth and home advantage will overpower Ghana's compact but limited defense to secure a comfortable win.”

Grok xAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

85%

“England's superior squad, 4-2 attacking display vs Croatia and 79% implied probability make them clear favorites.”

Llama Meta 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

85%

“England's strong form and home advantage outweigh Ghana's solid start”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

80%

“England's potent attack and home‑field edge should overcome Ghana's disciplined but limited offence.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

85%

“England's superior quality and 4-2 win over Croatia show they have too much firepower for a Ghana side that struggled to beat Panama.”

Mistral Mistral 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

85%

“England’s superior squad depth, attacking firepower, and tournament experience outweigh Ghana’s resilience in a high-stakes group game.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

82%

“England’s talent edge, depth and strong attacking form make them clear favourites despite Ghana’s solid start.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

78%

“England's firepower and tournament momentum edge Ghana's disciplined but limited attack.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

82%

“England's superior attack and squad depth should overcome Ghana's defensive setup despite both teams winning their openers.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 83% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — England."

Group L Full time

🇵🇦 Panama

0–1

Croatia 🇭🇷

📍 Toronto

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🇵🇦 PAN

6.69

+569 · 14%

🤝 Draw

3.99

+299 · 24%

🇭🇷 CRO

1.54

-185 · 62%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇭🇷 CRO

68%

“Croatia, despite the England thrashing, have far superior quality and must win to survive; Panama look limited after losing to Ghana.”

Gemini Google 🇭🇷 CRO

65%

“Croatia's superior quality and tournament experience will prove too much for Panama as both teams fight to keep their campaign alive.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇭🇷 CRO

70%

“Croatia's stronger squad and need for points should edge Panama despite the early setback.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇭🇷 CRO

68%

“Croatia's elite midfield control and urgent need for points will exploit Panama's lack of top-tier attacking quality.”

Grok xAI 🇭🇷 CRO

72%

“Croatia's elite squad and pedigree far outweigh Panama despite the venue and both sides' opening losses.”

Llama Meta 🇭🇷 CRO

65%

“Croatia favored by bookmakers and likely to bounce back from opening loss”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇭🇷 CRO

65%

“Croatia's superior squad depth and recent attacking form outweigh Panama's shaky defense.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇭🇷 CRO

85%

“Croatia's superior quality and desperation after opening loss secure a vital win.”

Mistral Mistral 🇭🇷 CRO

75%

“Croatia’s quality and experience in big tournaments outweigh Panama’s resilience, especially after their opening loss.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇭🇷 CRO

75%

“Croatia are a clear class above Panama and market and models align on a strong away win despite both starting with losses.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇭🇷 CRO

66%

“Croatia's class proves too much for a limited Panama side that struggles to score.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇭🇷 CRO

72%

“Croatia's class and desperate need for points after -2 GD outweigh Panama's limited threat.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇭🇷 Croatia 71% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Croatia."

Group K Full time

🇨🇴 Colombia

1–0

DR Congo 🇨🇩

📍 Guadalajara (Zapopan)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 38 books ·

🇨🇴 COL

1.47

-213 · 64%

🤝 Draw

4.1

+310 · 23%

🇨🇩 COD

7.27

+627 · 13%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Thursday 25 June

AEST

Group B Full time

🇨🇭 Switzerland

2–1

Canada 🇨🇦

📍 Vancouver

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 37 books ·

🇨🇭 SUI

2.11

+111 · 44%

🤝 Draw

3.27

+227 · 29%

🇨🇦 CAN

3.47

+247 · 27%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group B Full time

🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herzegovina

3–1

Qatar 🇶🇦

📍 Seattle

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 37 books ·

🇧🇦 BIH

1.54

-185 · 61%

🤝 Draw

3.9

+290 · 24%

🇶🇦 QAT

6.15

+515 · 15%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group C Full time

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland

0–3

Brazil 🇧🇷

📍 Miami (Miami Gardens)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 32 books ·

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO

6.7

+570 · 14%

🤝 Draw

4.46

+346 · 21%

🇧🇷 BRA

1.44

-227 · 65%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group C Full time

🇲🇦 Morocco

4–2

Haiti 🇭🇹

📍 Atlanta

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 32 books ·

🇲🇦 MAR

1.32

-312 · 71%

🤝 Draw

5.0

+400 · 19%

🇭🇹 HAI

9.4

+840 · 10%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group A Full time

🇨🇿 Czech Republic

0–3

Mexico 🇲🇽

📍 Mexico City

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 32 books ·

🇨🇿 CZE

4.54

+354 · 21%

🤝 Draw

3.47

+247 · 27%

🇲🇽 MEX

1.79

-127 · 52%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group A Full time

🇿🇦 South Africa

1–0

South Korea 🇰🇷

📍 Monterrey (Guadalupe)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 32 books ·

🇿🇦 RSA

3.98

+298 · 24%

🤝 Draw

3.36

+236 · 28%

🇰🇷 KOR

1.93

-108 · 49%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Friday 26 June

AEST

Group E Full time

🇨🇼 Curaçao

0–2

Ivory Coast 🇨🇮

📍 Philadelphia

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇨🇼 CUW

13.09

+1209 · 7%

🤝 Draw

6.02

+502 · 16%

🇨🇮 CIV

1.22

-455 · 77%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group E Full time

🇪🇨 Ecuador

2–1

Germany 🇩🇪

📍 New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 32 books ·

🇪🇨 ECU

4.75

+375 · 20%

🤝 Draw

3.73

+273 · 25%

🇩🇪 GER

1.71

-141 · 55%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group F Full time

🇯🇵 Japan

1–1

Sweden 🇸🇪

📍 Dallas (Arlington)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇯🇵 JPN

2.06

+106 · 46%

🤝 Draw

3.36

+236 · 28%

🇸🇪 SWE

3.52

+252 · 27%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group F Full time

🇹🇳 Tunisia

1–3

Netherlands 🇳🇱

📍 Kansas City

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇹🇳 TUN

6.39

+539 · 15%

🤝 Draw

4.2

+320 · 22%

🇳🇱 NED

1.49

-204 · 63%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group D Full time

🇹🇷 Turkey

3–2

USA 🇺🇸

📍 Los Angeles (Inglewood)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇹🇷 TUR

2.65

+165 · 35%

🤝 Draw

3.41

+241 · 27%

🇺🇸 USA

2.51

+151 · 37%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group D Full time

🇵🇾 Paraguay

0–0

Australia 🇦🇺

📍 San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇵🇾 PAR

2.15

+115 · 44%

🤝 Draw

3.2

+220 · 29%

🇦🇺 AUS

3.46

+246 · 27%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Saturday 27 June

AEST

Group I Full time

🇳🇴 Norway

1–4

France 🇫🇷

📍 Boston (Foxborough)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇳🇴 NOR

4.25

+325 · 22%

🤝 Draw

3.56

+256 · 26%

🇫🇷 FRA

1.81

-123 · 52%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group I Full time

🇸🇳 Senegal

5–0

Iraq 🇮🇶

📍 Toronto

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇸🇳 SEN

1.41

-244 · 66%

🤝 Draw

4.38

+338 · 21%

🇮🇶 IRQ

7.57

+657 · 12%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group H Full time

🇨🇻 Cape Verde

0–0

Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦

📍 Houston

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇨🇻 CPV

2.56

+156 · 37%

🤝 Draw

3.25

+225 · 29%

🇸🇦 KSA

2.7

+170 · 35%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group H Full time

🇺🇾 Uruguay

0–1

Spain 🇪🇸

📍 Guadalajara (Zapopan)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇺🇾 URU

5.26

+426 · 18%

🤝 Draw

3.83

+283 · 24%

🇪🇸 ESP

1.62

-161 · 58%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group G Full time

🇪🇬 Egypt

1–1

Iran 🇮🇷

📍 Seattle

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇪🇬 EGY

2.22

+122 · 42%

🤝 Draw

3.02

+202 · 31%

🇮🇷 IRN

3.51

+251 · 27%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Group G Full time

🇳🇿 New Zealand

1–5

Belgium 🇧🇪

📍 Vancouver

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇳🇿 NZL

9.81

+881 · 10%

🤝 Draw

5.47

+447 · 17%

🇧🇪 BEL

1.28

-357 · 73%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Sunday 28 June

AEST

Group L Full time

🇵🇦 Panama

0–2

England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

📍 New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇵🇦 PAN

9.67

+867 · 10%

🤝 Draw

5.7

+470 · 16%

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

1.27

-370 · 74%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

82%

“England need a win to secure top spot; Panama are eliminated and outclassed — expect a comfortable England victory.”

Gemini Google 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

80%

“England's elite squad depth and motivation to secure top spot in Group L will comfortably overwhelm an eliminated, scoreless Panama side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

84%

“England are clear class favorites and need the points; Panama have looked blunt, scoring 0 in 2.”

Qwen Alibaba 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

85%

“Panama is already eliminated and scoreless, while England's elite depth and attack guarantee a routine victory to top the group.”

Grok xAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

85%

“England's elite squad and attack overwhelm Panama's poor form and 0 points from 2 games.”

Llama Meta 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

80%

“England's strong form and Panama's poor start suggest a likely win.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

78%

“England's attacking form and defensive solidity outweigh Panama's winless, goalless start.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

92%

“Panama eliminated, goalless in two losses; England need a result to top group and are vastly superior in quality.”

Mistral Mistral 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

85%

“England's superior squad depth, attacking quality, and tournament experience make them clear favorites despite Panama's resilience.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

83%

“England are vastly stronger, still motivated for top spot, and Panama look blunt in attack with 0 goals in two games.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

84%

“England's class and attacking depth should overwhelm a goalless Panama side already eliminated from contention.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

82%

“England superior quality with Panama eliminated and goalless in tournament; routine win expected.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 83% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — England."

Group L Full time

🇭🇷 Croatia

2–1

Ghana 🇬🇭

📍 Philadelphia

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 31 books ·

🇭🇷 CRO

1.64

-156 · 57%

🤝 Draw

3.72

+272 · 25%

🇬🇭 GHA

5.35

+435 · 18%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇭🇷 CRO

62%

“Croatia need a win to secure qualification and have quality to break down Ghana's defensive shape; bookmakers strongly favour them.”

Gemini Google 🇭🇷 CRO

55%

“Croatia's must-win imperative and superior midfield quality should edge past a resilient but limited Ghana side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇭🇷 CRO

64%

“Croatia need the points and are stronger on paper; Ghana's compact defense can keep it close, but Croatia edge it.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇭🇷 CRO

65%

“Croatia's superior attacking depth and must-win pressure will likely break down Ghana's disciplined but low-scoring defense.”

Grok xAI 🇭🇷 CRO

62%

“Croatia's quality edge and home venue outweigh Ghana's group results; bookies' 57% prior aligns with trend of home dominance.”

Llama Meta 🇭🇷 CRO

60%

“Croatia's experience and form edge out Ghana at home.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🤝 Draw

62%

“Ghana’s disciplined defense held England to 0‑0, while Croatia’s leaky back‑line makes a win unlikely despite its attack.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🤝 Draw

65%

“Ghana's tight defense (1 GA) and Croatia's must-win pressure meet a 27% tournament draw rate and strong market draw odds (25%).”

Mistral Mistral 🇭🇷 CRO

65%

“Croatia's experience and tactical discipline edge Ghana in a tight group decider, despite Ghana's resilience.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇭🇷 CRO

63%

“Croatia’s higher quality and must-win motivation edge it, though Ghana’s defense makes a low-scoring upset or draw live.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇭🇷 CRO

62%

“Croatia's experience and must-win urgency should break down Ghana's defensive setup.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇭🇷 Croatia 62% ✅

9/11 agree

"Strong lean in the tank toward Croatia."

Group K Full time

🇨🇴 Colombia

0–0

Portugal 🇵🇹

📍 Miami (Miami Gardens)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 32 books ·

🇨🇴 COL

3.41

+241 · 27%

🤝 Draw

3.27

+227 · 28%

🇵🇹 POR

2.1

+110 · 44%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇵🇹 POR

58%

“Portugal's superior squad depth and attacking firepower edge out Colombia despite Colombia's perfect record; CR7 era squad motivated to top group.”

Gemini Google 🇵🇹 POR

45%

“Portugal's superior quality and motivation to top the group will edge out a Colombia side already qualified.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇵🇹 POR

52%

“Portugal's stronger attack and market edge outweigh Colombia's form; likely a tight win.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇵🇹 POR

62%

“Portugal's superior attacking depth and clinical finishing will likely break down Colombia's organized backline.”

Grok xAI 🇵🇹 POR

52%

“Portugal's greater squad quality and experience edge out Colombia's group-stage form on neutral venue.”

Llama Meta 🤝 Draw

70%

“Strong teams in Group K, Colombia and Portugal both won their first two matches, indicating a closely contested draw.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇵🇹 POR

55%

“Portugal's stronger attack and slightly better form outweigh Colombia's home advantage.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇵🇹 POR

65%

“Portugal's superior attack and need for points to top the group give them an edge, despite Colombia's solid defense.”

Mistral Mistral 🇵🇹 POR

65%

“Portugal's superior squad depth and attacking firepower edge Colombia in a tight, high-stakes group decider.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇵🇹 POR

65%

“Portugal have stronger attacking metrics and are slight but clear favorites in both data models and markets.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇨🇴 COL

55%

“Colombia's elite defense and massive Miami home crowd tilt the tight Group K decider against Portugal.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇵🇹 POR

55%

“Portugal need points to advance; Colombia already through may rotate. Portugal's quality edges it.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇵🇹 Portugal 57% ❌

10/12 agree

"Strong lean in the tank toward Portugal."

Group K Full time

🇨🇩 DR Congo

3–1

Uzbekistan 🇺🇿

📍 Atlanta

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 32 books ·

🇨🇩 COD

2.31

+131 · 41%

🤝 Draw

3.21

+221 · 29%

🇺🇿 UZB

3.1

+210 · 30%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇨🇩 COD

57%

“DR Congo need a win to stay alive; Uzbekistan have conceded 8 in 2 games and look toothless going forward.”

Gemini Google 🇨🇩 COD

55%

“DR Congo's competitive showings against Portugal and Colombia make them clear favorites against an Uzbekistan side that has leaked eight goals.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇨🇩 COD

55%

“DR Congo have the better underlying form and a sturdier defense; Uzbekistan's heavy losses make them slight underdogs.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇨🇩 COD

68%

“DR Congo's resilient defense contrasts sharply with Uzbekistan's leaky backline, which has already conceded eight goals in two matches.”

Grok xAI 🇨🇩 COD

62%

“DR Congo's superior results and squad edge outweigh Uzbekistan's poor form despite neutral venue and bookie lean.”

Llama Meta 🇨🇩 COD

55%

“DR Congo favored by bookmakers and has relatively stronger team stats.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇨🇩 COD

62%

“DR Congo concedes fewer goals and needs points, while Uzbekistan has lost both games heavily.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇨🇩 COD

65%

“DR Congo's defensive solidity and Uzbekistan's leaky defense make a Congo win likely, though a draw is possible.”

Mistral Mistral 🇨🇩 COD

65%

“DR Congo’s superior squad depth and defensive resilience favor them against an Uzbekistan side struggling for form and confidence.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇨🇩 COD

63%

“Uzbekistan look overmatched and leak goals; DR Congo have shown higher level vs Portugal and Colombia and should edge it”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇨🇩 COD

65%

“DR Congo need a win to advance and face an already-eliminated Uzbekistan side that has conceded eight goals.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇨🇩 COD

62%

“DR Congo held Portugal draw and lost narrowly to Colombia; Uzbekistan conceded 8 in 2 games and is already eliminated.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇨🇩 DR Congo 61% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — DR Congo."

Group J Full time

🇩🇿 Algeria

3–3

Austria 🇦🇹

📍 Kansas City

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🇩🇿 ALG

3.48

+248 · 27%

🤝 Draw

2.05

+105 · 46%

🇦🇹 AUT

3.63

+263 · 26%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🤝 Draw

52%

“Both sides need a win but are evenly matched; a tense, cautious affair likely ends level with both advancing as runners-up.”

Gemini Google 🤝 Draw

45%

“With both teams aiming to secure progression, a cautious draw suits Austria's goal difference and aligns with strong market expectations.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🤝 Draw

55%

“Market and group context point to a tight, high-stakes match with little between them.”

Qwen Alibaba 🤝 Draw

68%

“Both need a point to advance, prompting cautious tactics; bookmaker odds heavily favor a stalemate in this evenly matched clash.”

Grok xAI 🤝 Draw

55%

“Bookies heavily favor draw (46%) and both sides have similar records plus defensive showings vs Argentina.”

Llama Meta 🤝 Draw

60%

“Bookmakers favour a draw and both teams have similar form and points.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🤝 Draw

55%

“Market gives draw highest probability; both sides have comparable points and goal differentials, suggesting a likely stalemate.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🤝 Draw

85%

“Market sees a 46% draw, both need a result, Algeria fights to survive, Austria's slight edge neutralized by venue and stakes.”

Mistral Mistral 🤝 Draw

75%

“Tight group dynamics, Austria’s resilience, and bookmaker draw bias reflect a balanced, low-scoring stalemate.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🤝 Draw

60%

“Evenly matched sides with similar records and cautious group stakes; market heavily favors a stalemate too.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🤝 Draw

52%

“Both need points; Austria's GD edge means cautious, tactical stalemate likely.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🤝 Draw 60% ✅

11/11 agree

"Whole tank agrees — a draw."

Group J Full time

🇯🇴 Jordan

1–3

Argentina 🇦🇷

📍 Dallas (Arlington)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 47 books ·

🇯🇴 JOR

20.36

+1936 · 5%

🤝 Draw

8.96

+796 · 11%

🇦🇷 ARG

1.14

-714 · 84%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇦🇷 ARG

90%

“Argentina are perfect with 6pts, GD+5, and already qualified; Jordan are eliminated and have conceded 5 goals in 2 games.”

Gemini Google 🇦🇷 ARG

90%

“Argentina's world-class squad depth and perfect defensive record will easily overwhelm a struggling Jordan side already eliminated.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇦🇷 ARG

93%

“Argentina are unbeaten, defensively elite, and Jordan already look eliminated despite home-like conditions in Dallas.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇦🇷 ARG

92%

“Argentina's elite attack and perfect defensive record will easily overwhelm a Jordan side that has lost both opening matches.”

Grok xAI 🇦🇷 ARG

90%

“Argentina's elite squad and 6 pts/+5 GD dominate winless Jordan, matching 84% bookmaker odds.”

Llama Meta 🇦🇷 ARG

90%

“Argentina is a strong team and Jordan is struggling in the group stage”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇦🇷 ARG

85%

“Argentina's dominant form and Jordan's two losses make an Argentine win highly likely.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇦🇷 ARG

98%

“Argentina is dominant in Group J with clean sheets; Jordan already eliminated.”

Mistral Mistral 🇦🇷 ARG

92%

“Argentina's superior quality, form, and depth will overwhelm Jordan despite the group-stage context.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇦🇷 ARG

83%

“Argentina are far superior and in form; even rotated, they should overpower a Jordan side already leaking goals.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇦🇷 ARG

92%

“Argentina already qualified with perfect record; Jordan eliminated but massive class gap remains, Scaloni rotates but reserves still far superior.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇦🇷 ARG

80%

“Argentina's superior quality prevails despite likely rotation; Jordan eliminated and outmatched.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇦🇷 Argentina 90% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Argentina."

Monday 29 June

AEST

Round of 32 Full time

🇿🇦 South Africa

0–1

Canada 🇨🇦

📍 Los Angeles (Inglewood)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 46 books ·

🇿🇦 RSA

5.49

+449 · 17%

🤝 Draw

3.57

+257 · 27%

🇨🇦 CAN

1.71

-141 · 56%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇨🇦 CAN

68%

“Canada are strong favourites with superior squad depth; South Africa showed resilience but lack the quality to overcome a well-organised Canadian side.”

Gemini Google 🇨🇦 CAN

75%

“Canada's superior attacking depth and near-home advantage in Los Angeles make them strong favorites to progress against South Africa.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇨🇦 CAN

71%

“Canada's stronger market edge and superior group form outweigh South Africa's resilience in a likely tight knockout.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇨🇦 CAN

65%

“Canada's superior European-based squad depth and potent attack outweigh South Africa's resilient but limited offense.”

Grok xAI 🇨🇦 CAN

68%

“Canada's stronger group results and 56% implied win prob outweigh home edge in this knockout matchup.”

Llama Meta 🇨🇦 CAN

65%

“Canada's strong attacking form and South Africa's defensive struggles”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇨🇦 CAN

70%

“Canada's stronger attack and recent goal difference give them an edge over South Africa.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇨🇦 CAN

77%

“Canada's strong market odds (56% win in 90) and better form give them a ~77% chance to advance, including shootouts.”

Mistral Mistral 🇨🇦 CAN

75%

“Canada's superior attacking form and depth outweigh South Africa's resilience; bookmaker odds align with this edge.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇨🇦 CAN

70%

“Canada have stronger underlying quality and attack; market edge and form point to them edging a tight knockout tie.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇨🇦 CAN

72%

“Canada's superior firepower and bookmaker edge carry them past South Africa in LA.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇨🇦 CAN

68%

“Canada's 6-0 group win shows superior attack; South Africa's conservative approach unlikely to hold over 120 minutes.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇨🇦 Canada 70% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Canada."

Tuesday 30 June

AEST

Round of 32 Full time

🇧🇷 Brazil

2–1

Japan 🇯🇵

📍 Houston

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 46 books ·

🇧🇷 BRA

1.67

-149 · 57%

🤝 Draw

3.86

+286 · 25%

🇯🇵 JPN

5.31

+431 · 18%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇧🇷 BRA

72%

“Brazil's superior squad depth and tournament pedigree make them clear favourites; Japan can threaten but Brazil should advance.”

Gemini Google 🇧🇷 BRA

75%

“Brazil's elite squad depth and strong defensive record in the group stage should prove too much for a spirited but outmatched Japan.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇧🇷 BRA

72%

“Brazil have the stronger squad and the market leans their way, though Japan can make it close.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇧🇷 BRA

75%

“Brazil's elite attacking talent and Houston crowd support should edge Japan's organized but less clinical side in a tight knockout tie.”

Grok xAI 🇧🇷 BRA

81%

“Brazil's elite squad and 57% implied win prob outweigh Japan's group form in this high-stakes knockout matchup.”

Llama Meta 🇧🇷 BRA

70%

“Brazil's strong attacking record outweighs Japan's inconsistent form”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇧🇷 BRA

70%

“Brazil's superior attack and home designation give them a higher chance to win in regulation or penalties.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇧🇷 BRA

72%

“Brazil's superior knockout pedigree and firepower should see them past a resilient but less experienced Japan side.”

Mistral Mistral 🇧🇷 BRA

75%

“Brazil’s attacking depth and tournament experience outweigh Japan’s resilience; bookmaker edge aligns with form.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇧🇷 BRA

74%

“Brazil’s superior talent, defensive record and depth make them clear favorites despite Japan’s solid form.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇧🇷 BRA

72%

“Brazil's class and attacking depth prove too much for Japan over 120 minutes.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇧🇷 BRA

72%

“Brazil's elite attack and knockout pedigree outweigh Japan's grit; Samurai Blue lack finishing to capitalize on chances.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇧🇷 Brazil 73% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Brazil."

Round of 32 Full time

🇩🇪 Germany

1–1

Paraguay 🇵🇾

⚽ Paraguay won 4–3 on penalties

📍 Boston (Foxborough)

🔒 Teams confirmed once the bracket is set.

Round of 32 Full time

🇳🇱 Netherlands

1–1

Morocco 🇲🇦

⚽ Morocco won 3–2 on penalties

📍 Monterrey (Guadalupe)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 45 books ·

🇳🇱 NED

2.12

+112 · 45%

🤝 Draw

3.21

+221 · 30%

🇲🇦 MAR

3.77

+277 · 25%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇳🇱 NED

58%

“Netherlands' attacking depth edges Morocco, but Morocco's resilience (drew Brazil) makes this tight; Dutch quality tips it in extra time if needed.”

Gemini Google 🇳🇱 NED

60%

“The Netherlands' superior attacking depth and strong group-stage goal difference give them the edge over a resilient Moroccan side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇳🇱 NED

58%

“Netherlands have the stronger squad and bookmaker edge, though Morocco's resilience keeps it close.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇳🇱 NED

61%

“Netherlands' superior attacking firepower and squad depth should edge Morocco's resilient defense in a tight knockout.”

Grok xAI 🇳🇱 NED

68%

“Netherlands favored by bookies (45%) and stronger recent results vs quality sides; edge holds in knockout even if penalties.”

Llama Meta 🇳🇱 NED

55%

“Netherlands' attacking firepower edges out Morocco's defensive solidity”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇳🇱 NED

60%

“Netherlands show better recent goal difference and higher win/draw-adjusted chance to advance.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇳🇱 NED

72%

“Netherlands' superior firepower and tournament pedigree edge a tight contest, with market odds and group form backing a narrow win or shoot-out edge.”

Mistral Mistral 🇳🇱 NED

70%

“Netherlands' attacking firepower and tournament experience edge Morocco in a tight knockout game, with shootout strength favoring them.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇳🇱 NED

67%

“Netherlands show stronger attack, higher overall quality and are slight market favorite over resilient Morocco.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇳🇱 NED

63%

“Dutch quality and depth edge a resilient Morocco over 120 minutes.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇳🇱 NED

62%

“Netherlands' 10 group goals and knockout pedigree edge Morocco's resilient but less potent attack.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇳🇱 Netherlands 63% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Netherlands."

Wednesday 1 July

AEST

Round of 32 Full time

🇨🇮 Ivory Coast

1–2

Norway 🇳🇴

📍 Dallas (Arlington)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 46 books ·

🇨🇮 CIV

3.63

+263 · 26%

🤝 Draw

3.49

+249 · 27%

🇳🇴 NOR

2.05

+105 · 46%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇳🇴 NOR

62%

“Norway's clinical attack and stronger group form make them slight favourites; Haaland-led side should edge Ivory Coast in a tight knockout tie.”

Gemini Google 🇳🇴 NOR

60%

“Led by Haaland's elite finishing, Norway's superior attacking quality will edge out a resilient but less clinical Ivory Coast side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇳🇴 NOR

62%

“Norway have the stronger attack and better market edge, though Ivory Coast can keep it tight.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇳🇴 NOR

63%

“Norway's superior attack and 46% 90-minute win probability give them the knockout edge over a defensively solid Ivory Coast.”

Grok xAI 🇳🇴 NOR

68%

“Norway's stronger squad and results vs quality sides outweigh Ivory Coast's home label and bookie underdog status in this knockout tie.”

Llama Meta 🇳🇴 NOR

63%

“Norway's strong attacking form and Ivory Coast's defensive struggles”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇳🇴 NOR

60%

“Norway's higher win odds and equal penalty chances give them a ~60% chance to advance.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇳🇴 NOR

60%

“Norway are favored per betting markets and have stronger attacking form; they hold a ~60% chance to advance including extra time.”

Mistral Mistral 🇳🇴 NOR

70%

“Norway's attacking firepower and superior recent form edge Ivory Coast, despite bookmaker odds slightly favoring the underdogs.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇳🇴 NOR

63%

“Norway have shown higher attacking ceiling and are rated stronger by markets despite Ivory Coast’s solid group form.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇳🇴 NOR

61%

“Norway's superior attack and market edge carry them past Ivory Coast's stubborn defence.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇳🇴 NOR

58%

“Norway's attack (8 goals in group) edges Ivory Coast's defensive approach; Haaland factor decisive in tight knockout tie.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇳🇴 Norway 63% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Norway."

Round of 32 Full time

🇫🇷 France

3–0

Sweden 🇸🇪

📍 New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)

🔒 Teams confirmed once the bracket is set.

Round of 32 Full time

🇲🇽 Mexico

2–0

Ecuador 🇪🇨

📍 Mexico City

🔒 Teams confirmed once the bracket is set.

Thursday 2 July

AEST

Round of 32 Full time

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England

2–1

DR Congo 🇨🇩

📍 Atlanta

🔒 Teams confirmed once the bracket is set.

Round of 32 Full time

🇧🇪 Belgium

3–2

Senegal 🇸🇳

⚽ after extra time

📍 Seattle

🔒 Teams confirmed once the bracket is set.

Round of 32 Full time

🇺🇸 USA

2–0

Bosnia & Herzegovina 🇧🇦

📍 San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)

🔒 Teams confirmed once the bracket is set.

Friday 3 July

AEST

Round of 32 Full time

🇪🇸 Spain

3–0

Austria 🇦🇹

📍 Los Angeles (Inglewood)

🔒 Teams confirmed once the bracket is set.

Round of 32 Full time

🇵🇹 Portugal

2–1

Croatia 🇭🇷

📍 Toronto

🔒 Teams confirmed once the bracket is set.

Round of 32 Full time

🇨🇭 Switzerland

2–0

Algeria 🇩🇿

📍 Vancouver

🔒 Teams confirmed once the bracket is set.

Saturday 4 July

AEST

Round of 32 Full time

🇦🇺 Australia

1–1

Egypt 🇪🇬

⚽ Egypt won 4–2 on penalties

📍 Dallas (Arlington)

📊 Market odds decimal · American · implied % The Odds API · 46 books ·

🇦🇺 AUS

3.26

+226 · 29%

🤝 Draw

2.96

+196 · 32%

🇪🇬 EGY

2.47

+147 · 39%

Indicative de-vigged consensus across books — not an offer to bet.

Claude Anthropic 🇪🇬 EGY

58%

“Egypt's stronger group form and bookmaker edge make them slight favourites; Australia's inconsistency (draw vs Paraguay) a concern.”

Gemini Google 🇪🇬 EGY

58%

“Egypt's undefeated group stage, including a draw with Belgium, gives them the edge over a less consistent Australian side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇪🇬 EGY

58%

“Egypt are slight market favorites and have the more reliable draw/penalty path in a tight knockout.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇪🇬 EGY

58%

“Egypt's superior group-stage scoring and market favoritism give them a narrow knockout edge in a match likely heading to penalties.”

Grok xAI 🇪🇬 EGY

62%

“Egypt's stronger recent results and 39% bookie win prob outweigh Australia's home listing in a neutral-venue knockout.”

Llama Meta 🇪🇬 EGY

55%

“Egypt's recent form and bookmaker odds suggest a slight edge over Australia.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇪🇬 EGY

58%

“Egypt shows marginally better form and higher win probability, giving them a slight edge over Australia.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇪🇬 EGY

70%

“Egypt's superior form and 39% pre-match win probability, plus likely edge if extra time, make them favorites to advance.”

Mistral Mistral 🇪🇬 EGY

65%

“Egypt's defensive solidity and tournament form edge Australia's inconsistency, with shootout resilience likely decisive.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇪🇬 EGY

61%

“Egypt look slightly stronger overall and the market leans their way, but matchup is tight and low-scoring”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇪🇬 EGY

62%

“Egypt unbeaten with a quality group draw vs Belgium and superior firepower edge Australia in a tight knockout.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇪🇬 EGY

58%

“Egypt unbeaten vs Belgium and Iran shows higher ceiling; Australia's attack lacks bite against organized sides.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇪🇬 Egypt 60% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Egypt."

Round of 32 Full time

🇦🇷 Argentina

3–2

Cape Verde 🇨🇻

⚽ after extra time

📍 Miami (Miami Gardens)

🔒 Teams confirmed once the bracket is set.

Round of 32 Full time

🇨🇴 Colombia

1–0

Ghana 🇬🇭

📍 Kansas City

🔒 Teams confirmed once the bracket is set.

Sunday 5 July

AEST

Round of 16 Full time

🇨🇦 Canada

0–3

Morocco 🇲🇦

📍 Houston

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Round of 16 Full time

🇵🇾 Paraguay

0–1

France 🇫🇷

📍 Philadelphia

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Monday 6 July

AEST

Round of 16 Full time

🇧🇷 Brazil

1–2

Norway 🇳🇴

📍 New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Round of 16 Full time

🇲🇽 Mexico

2–3

England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

📍 Mexico City

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Tuesday 7 July

AEST

Round of 16 Full time

🇵🇹 Portugal

0–1

Spain 🇪🇸

📍 Dallas (Arlington)

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Round of 16 Full time

🇺🇸 USA

1–4

Belgium 🇧🇪

📍 Seattle

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Wednesday 8 July

AEST

Round of 16 Full time

🇦🇷 Argentina

3–2

Egypt 🇪🇬

📍 Atlanta

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Round of 16 Full time

🇨🇭 Switzerland

0–0

Colombia 🇨🇴

⚽ Switzerland won 4–3 on penalties

📍 Vancouver

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Friday 10 July

AEST

Quarter-final Full time

🇫🇷 France

2–0

Morocco 🇲🇦

📍 Boston (Foxborough)

🐙 The bracket resolved after kick-off — the tank didn't call this one.

Saturday 11 July

AEST

Quarter-final Full time

🇪🇸 Spain

2–1

Belgium 🇧🇪

📍 Los Angeles (Inglewood)

Claude Anthropic 🇪🇸 ESP

68%

“Spain's superior tournament form and defensive solidity edge out a resilient Belgium side; La Roja likely advance in a tight contest.”

Gemini Google 🇪🇸 ESP

65%

“Spain's elite defensive record of four consecutive clean sheets will stifle Belgium's attack and carry them through to the semis.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇪🇸 ESP

68%

“Spain's cleaner defense and tighter knockout form make them likelier to advance, even in a close tie.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇪🇸 ESP

65%

“Spain's tactical discipline and knockout defensive record give them the edge over Belgium's vulnerable backline.”

Grok xAI 🇪🇸 ESP

62%

“Spain's stronger knockout results and attack edge out Belgium in a tight contest likely decided in extra time or penalties.”

Llama Meta 🇪🇸 ESP

65%

“Spain's strong attacking form and experience edge Belgium”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇪🇸 ESP

60%

“Spain's solid defense and unbeaten run give them a slight edge over Belgium's attack.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇪🇸 ESP

80%

“Spain's defense is impenetrable (0 goals conceded) and they just beat Portugal; Belgium's form is inconsistent and reliant on blowouts vs weak sides.”

Mistral Mistral 🇪🇸 ESP

75%

“Spain's superior possession play, creativity, and knockout-stage pedigree edge Belgium's resilience and counter-attacking threat.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇪🇸 ESP

76%

“Spain are clear favorites on odds and form, with stronger defense and better knockout results so far.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇪🇸 ESP

70%

“Spain's flawless defense and 1-0 win over Portugal outweigh Belgium's potent but leakier knockout form.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇪🇸 ESP

65%

“Spain's defense flawless (0 conceded in 5 games); Belgium's leaky backline decisive against elite opposition.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇪🇸 Spain 68% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Spain."

Sunday 12 July

AEST

Quarter-final Full time

🇳🇴 Norway

1–2

England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

📍 Miami (Miami Gardens)

Claude Anthropic 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

62%

“England's clinical attack and tournament experience edge out Norway, though Haaland's threat makes this tight and shoot-out possible.”

Gemini Google 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

65%

“England's superior squad depth and tournament experience will edge out a Haaland-led Norway that has overachieved to reach this stage.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

58%

“England look slightly stronger overall and have enough control and depth to edge Norway in a tight knockout.”

Qwen Alibaba 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

62%

“England's superior squad depth, defensive stability, and big-game pedigree edge out Norway's high-scoring but leaky run.”

Grok xAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

62%

“England's deeper squad and proven knockout pedigree outweigh Norway's recent upsets against Brazil.”

Llama Meta 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

75%

“England's strong attacking form and Norway's inconsistent performance”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

70%

“England's superior defensive record and neutral venue give them the edge over Norway.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

68%

“England's superior squad depth and big-game experience should overcome Norway's impressive but emotionally draining run.”

Mistral Mistral 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

85%

“England's deeper squad, tournament experience, and clinical finishing edge Norway's underdog resilience in a tight knockout game.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

74%

“England’s deeper quality, betting odds and most expert previews slightly favor them over Norway in a tight tie.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

58%

“England's unbeaten run and superior defensive record trump Norway's inconsistent form against top sides.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

58%

“England's deeper squad and tournament pedigree edge Norway's Haaland-led attack in a tight knockout.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 66% ✅

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — England."

Quarter-final Full time

🇦🇷 Argentina

3–1

Switzerland 🇨🇭

⚽ after extra time

📍 Kansas City

Claude Anthropic 🇦🇷 ARG

82%

“Argentina's superior firepower and tournament pedigree make them heavy favourites; Switzerland's defensive solidity unlikely to hold Messi & co.”

Gemini Google 🇦🇷 ARG

78%

“Argentina's superior attacking depth and knockout pedigree will prove too strong for a resilient but limited Swiss side.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇦🇷 ARG

74%

“Argentina have the bigger knockout pedigree and slightly stronger attacking edge, though Switzerland can make it close.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇦🇷 ARG

80%

“Argentina's elite attacking depth and proven knockout pedigree will outclass Switzerland's organized but limited defense.”

Grok xAI 🇦🇷 ARG

82%

“Argentina's elite attack and recent knockout wins outweigh Switzerland's solid but limited defense.”

Llama Meta 🇦🇷 ARG

75%

“Argentina's strong form and knockout experience edge out Switzerland”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇦🇷 ARG

70%

“Argentina's superior attacking form outweighs Switzerland's disciplined defense, likely securing victory in regulation or extra time.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇦🇷 ARG

85%

“Argentina's superior firepower and home advantage should see them through, though Switzerland's solid defense may force a tight contest.”

Mistral Mistral 🇦🇷 ARG

75%

“Argentina's attacking depth and knockout experience edge Switzerland, despite Swiss resilience.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇦🇷 ARG

79%

“Argentina’s superior quality, scoring form and historical edge make them clear favorites over resilient Switzerland.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇦🇷 ARG

82%

“Argentina's potent attack and knockout nous see them past a disciplined Swiss side that lacks their firepower.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇦🇷 Argentina 78% ✅

11/11 agree

"Whole tank agrees — Argentina."

Wednesday 15 July

AEST

Semi-final Full time

🇫🇷 France

0–2

Spain 🇪🇸

📍 Dallas (Arlington)

Claude Anthropic 🇫🇷 FRA

54%

“France's clinical attack vs Spain's solid defence; evenly matched but France's home-continent edge and firepower give them a slight advantage.”

Gemini Google 🇫🇷 FRA

55%

“France has been more dominant and clinical in their run, conceding just two goals all tournament compared to Spain's slower start.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇪🇸 ESP

56%

“Spain's steadier clean-sheet run and slightly better knockout control give them a narrow edge in a tight semi.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇫🇷 FRA

65%

“France's superior depth and knockout pedigree edge Spain in a tight semi, especially if it reaches penalties.”

Grok xAI 🇫🇷 FRA

55%

“France's superior knockout form and scoring edge over Spain tips a tight semi-final their way.”

Llama Meta 🇪🇸 ESP

55%

“Spain's consistent goal-scoring and France's recent struggles suggest a tight but Spanish win.”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇫🇷 FRA

70%

“France's superior attacking output and solid defense give them edge over Spain in a tight semi‑final.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇪🇸 ESP

75%

“Spain's defense has been flawless (0 conceded in knockout stages) and they edged a strong Belgium side, while France hasn't faced a top-tier opponent yet.”

Mistral Mistral 🇪🇸 ESP

65%

“Spain’s attacking fluidity and tournament form edge France’s resilience, with a slight penalty shoot-out advantage if needed.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇫🇷 FRA

57%

“France’s form is slightly stronger, but Spain are close enough that extra time or pens could decide it.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇫🇷 FRA

62%

“France's ruthless attack and perfect knockout form break down Spain's resolute defence in a tight semi-final.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇫🇷 FRA

58%

“France's attack more prolific (16G vs 11G), both elite defenses, Les Bleus' big-game pedigree edges it.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇫🇷 France 60% ❌

8/12 agree

"Strong lean in the tank toward France."

Thursday 16 July

AEST

Semi-final Full time

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England

1–2

Argentina 🇦🇷

📍 Atlanta

Claude Anthropic 🇦🇷 ARG

58%

“Argentina's clinical attack and tournament pedigree edge a tight match; England's shoot-out record remains a concern if it goes to penalties.”

Gemini Google 🇦🇷 ARG

55%

“Argentina's superior knockout pedigree and clinical attack will edge a highly tense encounter against England in Atlanta.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇦🇷 ARG

56%

“Argentina's edge in knockout pedigree and slightly steadier results make them a narrow pick, likely via extra time or pens.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇦🇷 ARG

62%

“Argentina's tournament-tested resilience and clinical edge give them the advantage in a tight, high-stakes knockout tie.”

Grok xAI 🇦🇷 ARG

58%

“Argentina's sharper attack and deeper knockout wins edge a tight semi, with penalties likely.”

Llama Meta 🇦🇷 ARG

65%

“Argentina's consistent goal-scoring form outweighs England's inconsistent displays”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

68%

“England's unbeaten run and home advantage edge them past Argentina in a tight semi‑final”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇦🇷 ARG

55%

“Argentina's prolific attack and tournament pedigree give them a slight edge in a likely close semi-final.”

Mistral Mistral 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

65%

“England's attacking depth and knockout experience edge Argentina in a tight, high-stakes semi-final.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇦🇷 ARG

64%

“Argentina slight favourites overall and on simulations; edge England in quality and big-game penalty pedigree”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇦🇷 ARG

65%

“Argentina's flawless run, superior firepower and penalty shootout pedigree see them past England in a tense semi.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇦🇷 ARG

56%

“Argentina's flawless tournament scoring record and big-match pedigree edge England's tighter knockout run.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇦🇷 Argentina 59% ✅

10/12 agree

"Strong lean in the tank toward Argentina."

Sunday 19 July

AEST

Third-place play-off Full time

🇫🇷 France

4–6

England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

⚽ England win the bronze final 6–4 — Saka hat-trick; Mbappé's brace makes him the World Cup's all-time top scorer

📍 Miami (Miami Gardens)

Claude Anthropic 🇫🇷 FRA

58%

“France have been more dominant throughout the tournament; both teams lost semis but France's overall form edges this tight third-place clash.”

Gemini Google 🇫🇷 FRA

58%

“France boasts a more dominant defensive record and tournament pedigree to edge past England in a tight consolation match.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇫🇷 FRA

58%

“France have the stronger overall run and a slight edge over England, though it’s likely tight.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇫🇷 FRA

62%

“France's superior defensive record and higher-scoring attack edge England's inconsistent form in a tight contest.”

Grok xAI 🇫🇷 FRA

58%

“France's superior defensive record and tougher opponents beaten edge them in a tight matchup likely decided by set-pieces or pens.”

Llama Meta 🇫🇷 FRA

62%

“France has a stronger overall tournament record and home advantage”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇫🇷 FRA

65%

“France's tighter defense and recent clean-sheet streak give them the edge over England in a likely tight third-place clash.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇫🇷 FRA

65%

“France's stronger defense and overall form give them the edge over England.”

Mistral Mistral 🇫🇷 FRA

65%

“France’s deeper squad, defensive solidity, and recent shoot-out pedigree edge England’s inconsistent form.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇫🇷 FRA

74%

“France have shown slightly higher level and are clear betting favorites, giving them better win and shoot-out odds.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇫🇷 FRA

62%

“France have been more dominant throughout the tournament, beating common opponents convincingly and boasting a stronger defensive record.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇫🇷 FRA

68%

“France superior goal difference (+12 vs +4) and cleaner knockout progression; England's defense more porous.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇫🇷 France 63% ❌

12/12 agree

"Whole tank agrees — France."

Monday 20 July

AEST

Final Full time

🇪🇸 Spain

1–0

Argentina 🇦🇷

⚽ after extra time — Ferran Torres 106'; Spain's second World Cup

📍 New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)

Claude Anthropic 🇦🇷 ARG

52%

“Argentina's clinical attack edges a tight final; Messi-era squad's tournament experience tips a likely shootout in their favor.”

Gemini Google 🇪🇸 ESP

55%

“Spain's elite defensive record of five clean sheets in six games will stifle Argentina's attack to secure the trophy.”

ChatGPT OpenAI 🇪🇸 ESP

56%

“Spain look slightly more control-based in a final, but Argentina’s elite knockout edge keeps it very close.”

Qwen Alibaba 🇦🇷 ARG

65%

“Argentina's knockout resilience and Messi's big-game pedigree edge Spain's possession in a tight final.”

Grok xAI 🇦🇷 ARG

58%

“Argentina's high-scoring knockout run and clinical finishing outweigh Spain's defensive solidity in a tight final.”

Llama Meta 🇦🇷 ARG

65%

“Argentina's strong attacking form edges Spain's solidity”

Nemotron NVIDIA 🇪🇸 ESP

65%

“Spain's tighter defense and consistent clean‑sheet record give them a slight edge over Argentina's attack‑heavy but leakier backline.”

DeepSeek DeepSeek 🇪🇸 ESP

85%

“Spain's rock-solid defense (5 straight clean sheets) and dominant knockout run make them favorites, even if Argentina pushes to penalties.”

Mistral Mistral 🇪🇸 ESP

65%

“Spain’s possession-based dominance and recent knockout form edge Argentina’s resilience, though penalties could decide a tight final.”

Perplexity Perplexity 🇪🇸 ESP

58%

“Spain’s balanced attack, tighter defense and recent big-tournament pedigree slightly edge Argentina even if it goes long.”

Kimi MoonshotAI 🇪🇸 ESP

58%

“Spain's suffocating defense and cleaner knockout run edge Argentina's leaky, high-scoring campaign.”

GLM 5 Z.ai 🇪🇸 ESP

64%

“Spain's defense has been elite (1 goal conceded all tournament) and they beat France 2-0; Argentina leaks in knockouts.”

🐙 The Octopus's call 🇪🇸 Spain 63% ✅

8/12 agree

"Strong lean in the tank toward Spain."